4thand4cast

College football, by the numbers

Daily rankings, projections, and analysis — powered by GIE.

All 134 FBS teams. Re-rated every morning by our prediction engine. Backed by 11 seasons of training data and a transparent methodology.

Daily during the season. Weekly in the offseason. No spam.

Top 10 right now

Full Top 25 →

As of 2025 Week 16

#TeamConfRating
1IndianaBig Ten32.4
2Ohio StateBig Ten30.1
3Texas TechBig 1227.6
4OregonBig Ten25.9
5Notre DameFBS Independents24.4
6GeorgiaSEC24.1
7Ole MissSEC24.0
8UtahBig 1222.2
9MiamiACC20.7
10Texas A&MSEC20.7

Where this comes from

GIE — the Gridiron Intelligence Engine — is our prediction system. It blends ELO ratings, strength of schedule, and a continuity bonus that rewards programs with stable coaching staffs and returning rosters. The output is a ranking, a season projection, and a per-game probability for every team in FBS.

No betting picks. No spreads. Just numbers and the analysis behind them.