4thand4cast 🏈

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

Pick 'Em · Now live for Week 0

Beat the model.

Our free confidence pool just launched. Rank the Week 0 games, climb the leaderboard, and try to outpick GIE — the engine that runs the rest of the site. No money, no spreads, bragging rights only.

Play Pick 'Em → Free to play. GIE enters its own picks too — see if you can beat it.
1

Rank by confidence

Order the slate — your surest pick is worth the most.

2

GIE plays too

The model enters its own board. Outscore it.

3

Friend leagues

Private leaderboards for your group. Free.

Latest from 4thand4cast

All articles →

Analysis · August 23, 2026

GIE's Week 0 Pick 'Em Board

GIE committed its Week 0 confidence picks — the whole board, ranked, with the thinking behind each. Can you beat the model?

Read article →

Analysis · August 14, 2026

Farmageddon Closes the Season — and the Model Can't Separate Them

We'll end the countdown where the season ends: Farmageddon, the day before the 2026 opener, previewing its final Saturday.

Read article →

Analysis · August 13, 2026

An Old Mountain West Blood Feud, Reborn With Pac-12 Stakes

Rivalries don't disappear when conferences reshuffle.

Read article →

Analysis · August 12, 2026

The Big Ten's Rock Fight: Northwestern at Minnesota

Some games are close because both teams score a lot.

Read article →

Analysis · August 11, 2026

Kansas State's November Gauntlet Starts in Fort Worth

The best game on a given Saturday is often a chess match nobody advertises.

Read article →

Daily CFB intel · in your inbox

Daily during the season. Weekly in the offseason. No spam.

Way Too Early Top 25

Full rankings →

Preliminary 2026 projection · directional only.

  1. 1Ohio StateBig Ten33.8 Rating
  2. 2IndianaBig Ten31.1 Rating
  3. 3Texas TechBig 1230.2 Rating
  4. 4OregonBig Ten30.0 Rating
  5. 5GeorgiaSEC28.1 Rating
  6. 6Notre DameFBS Independents27.3 Rating
  7. 7Ole MissSEC25.9 Rating
  8. 8Texas A&MSEC24.4 Rating
  9. 9UtahBig 1223.5 Rating
  10. 10OklahomaSEC22.3 Rating
  11. 11MiamiACC21.0 Rating
  12. 12WashingtonBig Ten20.4 Rating
  13. 13TexasSEC20.2 Rating
  14. 14USCBig Ten19.5 Rating
  15. 15BYUBig 1218.6 Rating
  16. 16VanderbiltSEC18.3 Rating
  17. 17IowaBig Ten17.4 Rating
  18. 18Penn StateBig Ten17.1 Rating
  19. 19SMUACC15.9 Rating
  20. 20MichiganBig Ten15.1 Rating
  21. 21TennesseeSEC15.0 Rating
  22. 22ArizonaBig 1213.1 Rating
  23. 23AlabamaSEC12.8 Rating
  24. 24MissouriSEC12.7 Rating
  25. 25IllinoisBig Ten11.0 Rating

See all 134 FBS teams →

Underdog Watch

2026 Week 1

Games where GIE thinks the underdog has a real, non-coin-flip path. Win probability shown is for the underdog. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.