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Georgia

Bulldogs · SEC

GIE rank
#7
of 138 FBS
Rating
1769
2026 Week 10
Record
7-1
2026 season
Proj record
10-2
12-game season

Head coach Kirby Smart Year 11 with Georgia

Season projection

2026 W10 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
9.6
2.6 more wins in 4 left
Win range (90%)
8 to 11
Final rank (90%)
#8 (3–18)
Make playoff
84%
Win conference
46%

Path to glory

Their playoff probability after a win or a loss in each pivotal game. (Interactive toggles coming once the scenario sim finishes for this team.)

Georgia playoff probability by pivotal game result
Game Win Loss Swing
vs Missouri at home · Nov 14 · +69pp 98% 29% +69pp
at South Carolina on road · Nov 21 · +68pp 98% 30% +68pp

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 5 vs Tennessee State Non-FBS Win, 63-3 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 vs Western Kentucky Conference USA Win, 70-20 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 at Arkansas SEC Win, 45-17 Final
Wk 4 Sep 26 vs Oklahoma SEC Win, 41-13 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 vs Vanderbilt SEC Win, 38-14 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 at Alabama SEC Win, 20-17 Final
Wk 7 Oct 17 vs Auburn SEC Loss, 24-27 Final
Wk 8 Bye
Wk 9 Oct 31 vs Florida SEC · neutral Win, 27-8 Final
Wk 10 Nov 8 at Ole Miss SEC Win probability: 78%
Wk 11 Nov 14 vs Missouri SEC Win probability: 87%
Wk 12 Nov 21 at South Carolina SEC Win probability: 85%
Wk 13 Nov 28 vs Georgia Tech ACC Win probability: 98%

Latest stories

  • Recap

    Georgia: 2026 Week 7 recap

    Georgia holds firm at No. 1 with a rating of 30.2 after dispatching Vanderbilt 38–14 last week, though the unchanged rating signals that the result aligned with expectations rather than reshaping the trajectory. At 5–0, the Bulldogs are…

  • Recap

    Georgia: 2026 Week 3 recap

    Georgia enters Week 3 undefeated and ranked fourth overall, though the rating held flat week-to-week after the 63-3 demolition of Tennessee State. That lopsided result masks some operational concerns: red-zone efficiency at 21% suggests…

  • Recap

    Georgia: 2025 Week 16 recap

    Georgia sits at No. 6 overall after dismantling Alabama 28–7 on the road in Week 15, a statement that the Bulldogs' defense remains among the nation's most suffocating units. At 12–2, they've cemented themselves as a top-tier program,…

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

Returning production · 2026

74 score

  • Quarterback 100% (5/5)
  • Offensive line 75% (15/20) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 52% (25/44)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 73% (24/31)
  • Secondary 60% (11/23)
  • Special teams 29% (6/9)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

−0.3 rating

10 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Georgia incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Ja'Marley RiddleS From East Carolina East Carolina 164
Isiah CanionWR From Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 85
Dante DowdellRB From Kentucky Kentucky 82
Amaris WilliamsLB From Auburn Auburn 72
Khalil BarnesS From Clemson Clemson 62
Braylon ConleyDB From USC USC 31

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 44.7%
    92th — elite
  • Red-zone TD rate 21.3%
    91th — elite
  • 4th-down aggression 40.0%
    66th — average
  • Late & close 5.3 yds/play
    56th — average

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.