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Conference game

Missouri at Georgia

Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST

GIE win probability

Missouri 16% Underdog
Georgia 84% Favorite
Georgia 90% CI
78–89%
Δ rating
Georgia +12.9

Georgia is the model's favorite at 84%. Missouri has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.5 rating points baked in for Georgia — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Missouri offense 26 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Georgia offense Higher fit 32 / 100 Style-neutral matchup