Tigers · SEC
Head coach Eli Drinkwitz Year 7 with Missouri
Their playoff probability after a win or a loss in each pivotal game. (Interactive toggles coming once the scenario sim finishes for this team.)
| Game | Win | Loss | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| at Georgia | 87% | 0% | +87pp |
| vs Texas | 77% | 0% | +76pp |
| vs Kentucky | 76% | 0% | +76pp |
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 4 | vs Arkansas-Pine Bluff Non-FBS | Win, 54-14 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | at Kansas Big 12 | Win, 38-21 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | vs Troy Sun Belt | Win, 27-17 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | at Mississippi State SEC | Loss, 24-31 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 3 | vs Florida SEC | Win, 45-17 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | vs Texas A&M SEC | Win, 27-6 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 17 | at Ole Miss SEC | Loss, 3-31 Final |
| Wk 8 | Bye | |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | at Arkansas SEC | Win, 34-10 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | vs Texas SEC | |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | at Georgia SEC | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | vs Kentucky SEC | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | vs Oklahoma SEC | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
GIE projects a -5.2 rating drop and a -20.9pp shift in playoff probability if Missouri loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=3 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
37 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
+0.2 rating
30 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Cayden LeeWR From Ole Miss | Ole Miss | 116 |
| Robert Woodyard Jr.LB From Auburn | Auburn | 108 |
| Caleb Goodie Sr.WR From Cincinnati | Cincinnati | 88 |
| Xai'Shaun EdwardsRB From Houston Christian | Houston Christian | 79 |
| Kensley Louidor-FaustinS From Auburn | Auburn | 76 |
| Mark HensleyDT From Northern Illinois | Northern Illinois | 69 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
