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Conference game

Texas at Missouri

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 PM EST

GIE win probability

Texas 60% Favorite
Missouri 40% Underdog
Texas 90% CI
51–69%
Δ rating
Texas +6.2

Texas is the model's favorite at 60%. Missouri has a 40% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.9 rating points baked in for Missouri — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Texas offense Higher fit 33 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Missouri offense 30 / 100 Style-neutral matchup