Texas
Longhorns · SEC
- GIE rank
- #22
- of 138 FBS
- Rating
- 1694
- 2026 Week 10
- Record
- 6-2
- 2026 season
- Proj record
- 8-4
- 12-game season
Head coach Steve Sarkisian Year 6 with Texas
Season projection
- Expected wins
- 8.1
- 2.1 more wins in 4 left
- Win range (90%)
- 7 to 10
- Final rank (90%)
- #24 (11–38)
- Make playoff
- 7%
- Win conference
- 1%
Path to glory
Their playoff probability after a win or a loss in each pivotal game. (Interactive toggles coming once the scenario sim finishes for this team.)
| Game | Win | Loss | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| at LSU | 59% | 0% | +59pp |
| at Missouri | 58% | 0% | +58pp |
| at Texas A&M | 54% | 0% | +54pp |
Schedule
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 5 | vs Texas State Pac-12 | Win, 59-7 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | vs Ohio State Big Ten | Win, 24-23 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 20 | vs UTSA American Athletic | Win, 30-6 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | at Tennessee SEC | Win, 20-17 Final |
| Wk 5 | Bye | |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | vs Oklahoma SEC · neutral | Loss, 24-27 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 17 | vs Florida SEC | Loss, 24-27 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | vs Ole Miss SEC | Win, 34-27 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | vs Mississippi State SEC | Win, 31-3 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | at Missouri SEC | |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | at LSU SEC | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | vs Arkansas SEC | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | at Texas A&M SEC | |
In the news
- No. 9 Texas volleyball dismantled by Oklahoma (opens in a new tab)
- Oklahoma Plants Its Flag on No. 1 Texas, Kentucky Trolls LSU Despite Will Stein’s Warning — Week 6’s Best Social Media Taunts (opens in a new tab)
- Texas beat Texas in Red River Rivalry, Sooners seized the moment (opens in a new tab)
- 2026 Texas Longhorns Oklahoma Sooners Post Mortem: Defense/Special Teams (opens in a new tab)
- Better days appear likely for Oklahoma's offense after upset win over Texas (opens in a new tab)
- Texas Loss to Oklahoma Exposes a Much Bigger Concern (opens in a new tab)
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
Returning production · 2026
63 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
Portal additions · 2026
+1.2 rating
22 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Rasheem BilesLB From Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | 222 |
| Raleek BrownRB From Arizona State | Arizona State | 193 |
| Hollywood SmothersRB From NC State | NC State | 157 |
| Cam ColemanWR From Auburn | Auburn | 132 |
| Michael MasunasTE From Michigan State | Michigan State | 91 |
| Bo MascoeDB From Rutgers | Rutgers | 88 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Situational efficiency · 2025
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.