Texas State at Texas
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Texas State | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
 Texas Winner | 14 | 14 | 21 | 10 | 59 |
GIE pre-game call: Texas at 95%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Texas State 5% Underdog
Texas 95% Favorite
Texas is the model's favorite at 95%. Texas State has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.4 rating points baked in for Texas — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.