2026 Week 3
UTSA at Texas
Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
UTSA
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -1.1
- National rank
- 71
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Texas
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 22.8
- National rank
- 6
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 15%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UTSA
3%
Texas
97%
Texas 90% CI: 96% – 98% Δ rating 23.9
Texas is the model's favorite at 97%. UTSA has a 3% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Texas — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UTSA offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Texas offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No