2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Mississippi State at Texas
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Mississippi State
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 4.8
- National rank
- 52
- Proj. wins
- 4.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Texas
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 22.8
- National rank
- 6
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 15%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Mississippi State
6%
Texas
94%
Texas 90% CI: 91% – 96% Δ rating 18.0
Texas is the model's favorite at 94%. Mississippi State has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Texas — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Mississippi State offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Texas offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No