2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Texas at LSU
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Tiger Stadium (LA)
Texas
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 22.8
- National rank
- 6
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 15%
LSU
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 20.4
- National rank
- 10
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Texas
48%
LSU
52%
LSU 90% CI: 43% – 61% Δ rating 2.4
LSU is the model's favorite at 52%. Texas has a 48% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for LSU — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Texas offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
LSU offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Tiger Stadium (LA)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No