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Troy at Missouri

Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT

Final score

Final score by period
Team 1234 T
Troy 10700 17
Missouri Winner 02403 27

GIE pre-game call: Missouri at 96%. Hit

Pre-game

GIE win probability

Troy 4% Underdog
Missouri 96% Favorite
Missouri 90% CI
94–97%
Δ rating
Missouri +24.1

Missouri is the model's favorite at 96%. Troy has a 4% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.1 rating points baked in for Missouri — venue-specific night-game value (n=57 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Recaps