Troy
Trojans · Sun Belt
- GIE rank
- #100
- of 138 FBS
- Rating
- 1457
- 2026 Week 10
- Record
- 4-4
- 2026 season
- Proj record
- 6-6
- 12-game season
Head coach Gerad Parker Year 3 with Troy
Year-3 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.10 W vs. preseason expectation
Season projection
- Expected wins
- 5.6
- 1.6 more wins in 4 left
- Win range (90%)
- 4 to 7
- Final rank (90%)
- #100 (83–116)
- Make playoff
- 0%
- Win conference
- 0%
Path to glory
No remaining game changes Troy's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Schedule
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 5 | vs Sam Houston Conference USA | Win, 24-21 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | vs Alabama State Non-FBS | Win, 34-17 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | at Missouri SEC | Loss, 17-27 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | at Utah State Pac-12 | Loss, 10-21 Final |
| Wk 5 | Bye | |
| Wk 6 Oct 7 | vs Southern Miss Sun Belt | Win, 55-34 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 17 | at Louisiana Sun Belt | Loss, 6-33 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | vs UL Monroe Sun Belt | Loss, 14-21 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 29 | at James Madison Sun Belt | Win, 24-21 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | vs Louisiana Tech Sun Belt | |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | at South Alabama Sun Belt | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | vs Georgia Southern Sun Belt | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | at Arkansas State Sun Belt | |
In the news
- Jon Sumrall takes accountability after South Carolina loss: ‘It starts with me’ (opens in a new tab)
- Cross talks recruiting and staff building process at Tech (opens in a new tab) Georgia Tech (GIE shift -12.0): Scott Cross brings limited Power Four head coaching experience, with one season at TCU in 2018-19 between Group of Five head coaching roles. His newly constructed staff includes recruiters with high-major and Atlanta-area recruiting networks. Scheme continuity and offensive/defensive identity remain uncertain given the transition. Staff quality and local recruiting ties may partially offset the coaching experience gap in near-term roster development. Troy (GIE shift -20.0): Troy loses its head coach to a Power 4 program, creating immediate uncertainty in offensive and defensive continuity. Cross had stabilized the Trojans' program trajectory; his departure eliminates established scheme familiarity and recruiting momentum in the Sun Belt. Interim leadership typically experiences roster attrition and reduced recruiting effectiveness during transition periods, affecting depth chart stability and competitive positioning. TCU (GIE shift +0.0): This news item concerns Georgia Tech's hiring of Scott Cross as head coach. Cross previously served as TCU's offensive coordinator during 2018–2019. The move does not directly affect TCU's current roster, depth chart, scheme, or competitive standing. Cross's departure from TCU occurred over five years ago and carries no immediate on-field implications for the program.
- ‘Not a Good Look’ – Fans Blast Blake Anderson As Southern Miss HC Offers ‘No Excuses’ For Historic Loss to Troy (opens in a new tab)
- Troy and Southern Miss combine for 89 points, nearly 1,200 yards (opens in a new tab)
- Use FanDuel promo code to get $250 bonus bets by targeting Dodgers-Braves, Brewers-Padres, Southern Miss-Troy (opens in a new tab)
- Southern Miss and Troy enter SBC play both looking for turnarounds (opens in a new tab)
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
If QB1 is out
GIE projects a 7.7 rating drop and a 30.7pp shift in playoff probability if Troy loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=4 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
Returning production · 2026
55 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
Portal additions · 2026
−1.2 rating
16 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan PennixCB From Southern Miss | Southern Miss | 75 |
| Ty ClemonsDT From Boston College | Boston College | 25 |
| Bryce SteeleLB From Boston College | Boston College | 18 |
| TJ LottWR From Old Dominion | Old Dominion | 15 |
| Jaden MosleyLB From Samford | Samford | 11 |
| Knai CookS From Charleston Southern | Charleston Southern | 2 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Situational efficiency · 2025
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.