Conference game
Troy at Louisiana
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 5:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Troy | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
 Louisiana Winner | 7 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 33 |
GIE pre-game call: Louisiana at 82%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Troy 18% Underdog
Louisiana 82% Favorite
Louisiana is the model's favorite at 82%. Troy has a 18% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.1 rating points baked in for Louisiana — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.