2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Georgia Southern at Troy
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.8
- National rank
- 103
- Proj. wins
- 4.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Troy
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.0
- National rank
- 97
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Georgia Southern
45%
Troy
55%
Troy 90% CI: 45% – 64% Δ rating 2.8
Troy is the model's favorite at 55%. Georgia Southern has a 45% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.3 rating points baked in for Troy — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Georgia Southern offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Troy offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Veterans Memorial Stadium (AL)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No