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Georgia Southern

Eagles · Sun Belt

GIE rank
#70
of 138 FBS
Rating
1550
2026 Week 10
Record
4-4
2026 season
Proj record
6-6
12-game season

Head coach Clay Helton Year 5 with Georgia Southern

Season projection

2026 W10 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
6.2
2.2 more wins in 4 left
Win range (90%)
4 to 8
Final rank (90%)
#69 (50–90)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
0%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Georgia Southern's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 5 vs Charleston Southern Non-FBS Win, 31-0 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 at Clemson ACC Loss, 7-22 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 at Jacksonville State Conference USA Loss, 27-31 Final
Wk 4 Sep 26 vs Houston Big 12 Loss, 28-42 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 at Coastal Carolina Sun Belt Win, 31-24 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 vs James Madison Sun Belt Loss, 24-27 Final
Wk 7 Oct 15 at Old Dominion Sun Belt Win, 23-15 Final
Wk 8 Bye
Wk 9 Oct 31 vs App State Sun Belt Win, 19-3 Final
Wk 10 Nov 7 vs Marshall Sun Belt Win probability: 74%
Wk 11 Nov 14 at Georgia State Sun Belt Win probability: 56%
Wk 12 Nov 21 at Troy Sun Belt Win probability: 58%
Wk 13 Nov 28 vs Louisiana Tech Sun Belt Win probability: 51%

Latest stories

  • Recap

    Georgia Southern: 2026 Week 7 recap

    Georgia Southern sits at 2–3 after a convincing road win at Coastal Carolina in Week 5, but the rating hasn't budged—still at –8.6, good for 103rd overall. The Eagles' efficient third-down conversion rate (42%) and late-game execution…

  • Recap

    Georgia Southern: 2026 Week 3 recap

    Georgia Southern opened 2026 at 1–0 after dismantling Charleston Southern 31–0, but the rating hasn't budged: GIE still slots the Eagles at 103rd nationally with a –10.8 rating. That stasis is the story—a dominant win over a…

  • Recap

    Georgia Southern: 2025 Week 16 recap

    Georgia Southern sits at 7–6 after a 24–19 road win over Marshall in Week 14, holding a rating of –9.4 and ranking 103rd in GIE. The Eagles picked up a crucial victory in a tight contest, showcasing enough defensive discipline to hold the…

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

Returning production · 2026

56 score

  • Quarterback 8% (4/6)
  • Offensive line 75% (15/20) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 62% (23/29)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 89% (27/31)
  • Secondary 76% (20/23)
  • Special teams 100% (8/8)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

−0.9 rating

20 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Georgia Southern incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Anthony BynumLB From Middle Tennessee Middle Tennessee 142
Max JohnsonQB From North Carolina North Carolina 20
Ashton HollinsWR From Illinois Illinois 20
Noah ManghamDB From Abilene Christian Abilene Christian 19
Aaron SearsDB From Stephen F. Austin Stephen F. Austin 19
Rashon Myles Jr.LB From Abilene Christian Abilene Christian 17

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 42.3%
    82th — strong
  • Red-zone TD rate 16.5%
    68th — average
  • 4th-down aggression 34.7%
    41th — below avg
  • Late & close 5.8 yds/play
    71th — strong

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.