2026 Week 9 · Conference game
App State at Georgia Southern
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Allen E. Paulson Stadium
App State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -12.7
- National rank
- 111
- Proj. wins
- 5.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.8
- National rank
- 103
- Proj. wins
- 4.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
App State
29%
Georgia Southern
71%
Georgia Southern 90% CI: 63% – 78% Δ rating 1.9
Georgia Southern is the model's favorite at 71%. App State has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.5 rating points baked in for Georgia Southern — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
App State offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Georgia Southern offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Allen E. Paulson Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No