Conference game
Marshall at Georgia Southern
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 3:30 PM EST
GIE win probability
Marshall 17% Underdog
Georgia Southern 83% Favorite
Georgia Southern is the model's favorite at 83%. Marshall has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.7 rating points baked in for Georgia Southern — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Marshall offense
Higher fit 43 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Georgia Southern offense
42 / 100 Style-neutral matchup