Conference game
Louisiana Tech at Troy
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 4:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
Louisiana Tech 75% Favorite
Troy 25% Underdog
Louisiana Tech is the model's favorite at 75%. Troy has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.6 rating points baked in for Troy — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Louisiana Tech offense
Higher fit 38 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Troy offense
36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup