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Louisiana Tech

Bulldogs · Sun Belt

GIE rank
#44
of 138 FBS
Rating
1630
2026 Week 10
Record
6-2
2026 season
Proj record
9-3
12-game season

Head coach Sonny Cumbie Year 5 with Louisiana Tech

Season projection

2026 W10 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
8.7
2.7 more wins in 4 left
Win range (90%)
7 to 10
Final rank (90%)
#41 (27–59)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
23%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Louisiana Tech's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 5 vs Northwestern State Non-FBS Win, 80-6 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 at LSU SEC Loss, 14-45 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 at Baylor Big 12 Loss, 19-36 Final
Wk 4 Bye
Wk 5 Oct 3 vs Army American Athletic Win, 31-29 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 vs Louisiana Sun Belt Win, 32-31 Final
Wk 7 Oct 18 at UL Monroe Sun Belt Win, 24-0 Final
Wk 8 Oct 24 vs Old Dominion Sun Belt Win, 26-0 Final
Wk 9 Oct 31 at South Alabama Sun Belt Win, 35-20 Final
Wk 10 Nov 7 at Troy Sun Belt Win probability: 65%
Wk 11 Nov 14 vs Southern Miss Sun Belt Win probability: 88%
Wk 12 Nov 21 vs Arkansas State Sun Belt Win probability: 70%
Wk 13 Nov 28 at Georgia Southern Sun Belt Win probability: 49%

Latest stories

  • Recap

    Louisiana Tech: 2026 Week 7 recap

    Louisiana Tech sits at 2–2 after a 31–29 home win over Army in Week 5, a result that moved the needle hardly at all according to GIE—the rating holds steady at –9.8, ranking 108th nationally. The narrow victory masks some underlying…

  • Recap

    Louisiana Tech: 2026 Week 3 recap

    Louisiana Tech sits at 1–0 after demolishing Northwestern State 80–6 in Week 1, but the rating hasn't budged: they're holding steady at –9.1 and ranked 99th per GIE. That lopsided win came against a vastly inferior opponent, so the model…

  • Recap

    Louisiana Tech: 2025 Week 16 recap

    Louisiana Tech sits at 8–5 after a convincing 42–30 road win over Missouri State in Week 14, holding a rating of –1.3 and ranking 77th per GIE. The Bulldogs demonstrated offensive firepower in that victory, outscoring a Sun Belt opponent…

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

If QB1 is out

Blake Baker

GIE projects a -1.3 rating drop and a -5.4pp shift in playoff probability if Louisiana Tech loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=5 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)

Returning production · 2026

57 score

  • Quarterback 92% (4/6)
  • Offensive line 67% (12/18) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 35% (16/28)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 45% (18/27)
  • Secondary 25% (9/21)
  • Special teams 0% (4/7)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

−1.4 rating

9 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Louisiana Tech incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Marcus Calwise Jr.WR From Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 38
MJ Moultrie IIDB From Hampton Hampton 18
Ty JonesDB From Norfolk State Norfolk State 4
Ahkhari JohnsonDB From Arkansas Arkansas 3
Demario BookhartDB From South Carolina State South Carolina State 1
Joshua BrantleyTE From Tulane Tulane —

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 37.6%
    55th — average
  • Red-zone TD rate 14.4%
    47th — average
  • 4th-down aggression 25.9%
    11th — bottom tier
  • Late & close 7.2 yds/play
    90th — elite

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.