2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Arkansas State at Louisiana Tech
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Joe Aillet Stadium
Arkansas State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.6
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Louisiana Tech
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -9.1
- National rank
- 99
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Arkansas State
32%
Louisiana Tech
68%
Louisiana Tech 90% CI: 59% – 75% Δ rating 2.5
Louisiana Tech is the model's favorite at 68%. Arkansas State has a 32% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Louisiana Tech — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Arkansas State offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Louisiana Tech offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Joe Aillet Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No