Conference game
Southern Miss at Troy
Tuesday, October 6, 2026 · 8:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Southern Miss | 0 | 7 | 20 | 7 | 34 |
 Troy Winner | 17 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 55 |
GIE pre-game call: Troy at 62%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Southern Miss 38% Underdog
Troy 62% Favorite
Troy is the model's favorite at 62%. Southern Miss has a 38% path. Home-field adjustment of +-2.2 rating points baked in for Troy — venue-specific night-game value (n=48 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.