Southern Miss

Year-1 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.19 W vs. preseason expectation

• Quarterback 99% (4/6 )
• Offensive line 89% (16/18 players)
• Skill (RB/WR/TE) 84% (23/28 )
• Front 7 (DL/LB) 40% (20/31 )
• Secondary 31% (9/17 )
• Special teams 100% (9/9 )

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

32 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

• Melvin Spriggs LB ← Akron 81 impact
• Brandon Hood RB ← Massachusetts 64 impact
• AJ Little WR ← Chattanooga 32 impact
• Xavier McIver DL ← East Carolina 26 impact
• Hiroshi Carr DB ← Morgan State 19 impact
• Champ Lewis DB ← Tulsa 18 impact

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

• 3rd-down conversion 35.8% 42th — below avg
• Red-zone TD rate 17.0% 72th — strong
• 4th-down aggression 38.4% 62th — average
• Late & close 3.4 yds/play 17th — bottom tier

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.