Troy at Utah State
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 7:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| | 7 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 21 |
GIE pre-game call: Utah State at 64%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Troy 36% Underdog
Utah State 64% Favorite
Utah State is the model's favorite at 64%. Troy has a 36% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.8 rating points baked in for Utah State — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.