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Utah State

Aggies · Pac-12

GIE rank
#92
of 138 FBS
Rating
1489
2026 Week 10
Record
3-5
2026 season
Proj record
4-7
11-game season

Head coach Bronco Mendenhall Year 2 with Utah State

Year-2 HCs (2015-2024) averaged +0.09 W vs. preseason expectation

Season projection

2026 W10 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
4.1
1.1 more wins in 3 left
Win range (90%)
3 to 6
Final rank (90%)
#91 (73–105)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
0%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Utah State's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 5 vs Idaho State Non-FBS Loss, 17-29 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 at Washington Big Ten Loss, 14-16 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 at Utah Big 12 Loss, 0-33 Final
Wk 4 Sep 26 vs Troy Sun Belt Win, 21-10 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 at Boise State Pac-12 Loss, 18-37 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 vs Washington State Pac-12 Win, 17-16 Final
Wk 7 Bye
Wk 8 Oct 24 at Texas State Pac-12 Loss, 17-20 Final
Wk 9 Oct 31 vs Colorado State Pac-12 Win, 31-14 Final
Wk 10 Nov 8 vs Fresno State Pac-12 Win probability: 24%
Wk 11 Nov 15 at San Diego State Pac-12 Win probability: 40%
Wk 12 Nov 22 at Oregon State Pac-12 Win probability: 9%

Latest stories

Stories about Utah State will appear here as they're published. Check back during the season for analysis, hot takes, and game write-ups.

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

Returning production · 2026

79 score

  • Quarterback 100% (4/5)
  • Offensive line 83% (15/18) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 37% (18/26)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 87% (26/32)
  • Secondary 66% (14/21)
  • Special teams 100% (5/7)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

−0.6 rating

31 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Utah State incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Javon RobinsonWR From Georgia State Georgia State 113
Ta'avili TuitamaDT From New Mexico State New Mexico State 67
Markie GrantCB From Wyoming Wyoming 51
Eli WoodWR From Virginia Virginia 38
Harrison TaggartLB From California California 35
Sesi VailahiRB From Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 29

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 35.7%
    41th — below avg
  • Red-zone TD rate 14.1%
    43th — below avg
  • 4th-down aggression 24.3%
    8th — bottom tier
  • Late & close 7.4 yds/play
    92th — elite

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.