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Conference game

Utah State at Boise State

Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 7:30 PM EDT

Final score

Final score by period
Team 1234 T
Utah State 01008 18
Boise State Winner 141436 37

GIE pre-game call: Boise State at 95%. Hit

Pre-game

GIE win probability

Utah State 5% Underdog
Boise State 95% Favorite
Boise State 90% CI
93–96%
Δ rating
Boise State +20.1

Boise State is the model's favorite at 95%. Utah State has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.3 rating points baked in for Boise State — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.