Conference game

Kentucky at Missouri

Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST

GIE win probability

Kentucky 31% Underdog

Missouri 69% Favorite

Missouri 90% CI: 61–77%
Δ rating: Missouri +3.6

Missouri is the model's favorite at 69%. Kentucky has a 31% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.9 rating points baked in for Missouri — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Team comparison

Kentucky and Missouri compared
Measure	Kentucky SEC	Missouri SEC
Record	7-1	6-2
Rating	10.6	14.2
National rank	31	18
Proj. wins	9.1	8.4
Playoff prob.	7%	33%

Game info

Venue: Memorial Stadium
Conference game: Yes
Neutral site: No

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Kentucky offense 33 / 100 Style-neutral matchup

Missouri offense Higher fit 36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup