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2026 Week 6 · Conference game

Georgia at Alabama

Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Bryant-Denny Stadium

Georgia
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
26.4
National rank
4
Proj. wins
8.8
Playoff prob.
82%
Alabama
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
17.6
National rank
13
Proj. wins
6.9
Playoff prob.
10%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Georgia
57%
Alabama
43%
Alabama 90% CI: 34% – 52% Δ rating 8.8

Georgia is the model's favorite at 57%. Alabama has a 43% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.5 rating points baked in for Alabama — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Georgia offense
34 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Alabama offense
31 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Bryant-Denny Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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