UCLA
Bruins · Big Ten
- GIE rank
- #3
- of 138 FBS
- Rating
- 1786
- 2026 Week 10
- Record
- 8-0
- 2026 season
- Proj record
- 11-1
- 12-game season
Head coach Bob Chesney Year 1 with UCLA
Year-1 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.19 W vs. preseason expectation
Season projection
- Expected wins
- 11.0
- 3.0 more wins in 4 left
- Win range (90%)
- 9 to 12
- Final rank (90%)
- #5 (2–14)
- Make playoff
- 94%
- Win conference
- 57%
Path to glory
Their playoff probability after a win or a loss in each pivotal game. (Interactive toggles coming once the scenario sim finishes for this team.)
| Game | Win | Loss | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| at Minnesota | 97% | 0% | +97pp |
| vs USC | 92% | 0% | +92pp |
| at Michigan | 97% | 7% | +90pp |
Schedule
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 6 | at California ACC | Win, 45-24 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | vs San Diego State Pac-12 | Win, 28-10 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 20 | vs Purdue Big Ten | Win, 52-38 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | at Maryland Big Ten | Win, 54-3 Final |
| Wk 5 | Bye | |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | at Oregon Big Ten | Win, 17-15 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 17 | vs Wisconsin Big Ten | Win, 17-7 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | vs Michigan State Big Ten | Win, 28-10 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | vs Nevada Mountain West | Win, 27-0 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | at Minnesota Big Ten | |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | vs Illinois Big Ten | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | at Michigan Big Ten | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | vs USC Big Ten | |
In the news
- USC and UCLA Make Moves in Latest Big Ten Power Rankings After Big Road Wins (opens in a new tab)
- Big Ten officials admit pivotal error late in UCLA’s win over Oregon (opens in a new tab)
- Big Ten releases statement following Oregon’s failed two-point attempt against UCLA (opens in a new tab)
- Big Ten Admits Officiating Error At End Of Oregon vs. UCLA (opens in a new tab)
- Big Ten Admits Officiating Mistake in Crucial Play of Oregon's Loss to UCLA Bruins (opens in a new tab)
- Big Ten acknowledges major officiating mistake in UCLA-Oregon game (opens in a new tab)
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
If QB1 is out
GIE projects a -4.1 rating drop and a -16.3pp shift in playoff probability if UCLA loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=1 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
Returning production · 2026
54 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
Portal additions · 2026
+2.5 rating
43 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Wayne KnightRB From James Madison | James Madison | 247 |
| Sahir WestDL From James Madison | James Madison | 226 |
| Derrick BarksdaleDB From James Madison | James Madison | 137 |
| Aiden GobairaDL From James Madison | James Madison | 129 |
| Leland SmithWR From San José State | San José State | 127 |
| Trent HendrickLB From James Madison | James Madison | 125 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Situational efficiency · 2025
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.