Conference game
USC at UCLA
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
USC 41% Underdog
UCLA 59% Favorite
UCLA is the model's favorite at 59%. USC has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for UCLA — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
USC offense
Higher fit 40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
UCLA offense
39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup