USC
Trojans · Big Ten
- GIE rank
- #27
- of 138 FBS
- Rating
- 1683
- 2026 Week 10
- Record
- 7-2
- 2026 season
- Proj record
- 8-4
- 12-game season
Head coach Lincoln Riley Year 5 with USC
Season projection
- Expected wins
- 8.4
- 1.4 more wins in 3 left
- Win range (90%)
- 7 to 10
- Final rank (90%)
- #28 (16–40)
- Make playoff
- 1%
- Win conference
- 0%
Path to glory
No remaining game changes USC's playoff odds. Make playoff 1%
Schedule
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Aug 29 | vs San José State Mountain West | Win, 42-26 Final |
| Wk 1 Sep 5 | vs Fresno State Pac-12 | Win, 39-0 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 13 | vs Louisiana Sun Belt | Win, 49-30 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | at Rutgers Big Ten | Win, 42-35 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | vs Oregon Big Ten | Loss, 27-41 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 3 | vs Washington Big Ten | Win, 25-21 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | at Penn State Big Ten | Win, 31-23 Final |
| Wk 7 | Bye | |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | at Wisconsin Big Ten | Loss, 7-24 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | vs Ohio State Big Ten | Win, 30-18 Final |
| Wk 10 | Bye | |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | at Indiana Big Ten | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | vs Maryland Big Ten | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | at UCLA Big Ten | |
In the news
- Lincoln Riley Sends Message to USC Fans, Doubters Following Road Win Over Penn State (opens in a new tab)
- USC and UCLA Make Moves in Latest Big Ten Power Rankings After Big Road Wins (opens in a new tab)
- Final Takeaways From Penn State's Wayward Loss to USC in the White Out (opens in a new tab)
- Lincoln Riley discusses significance of USC’s victory over Penn State (opens in a new tab)
- First Impressions of Penn State’s 31-23 loss to USC (opens in a new tab)
- CT Scan Gameday: No. 19 USC silences Penn State 31-23 (opens in a new tab)
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
Returning production · 2026
67 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
Portal additions · 2026
−0.6 rating
14 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Terrell AndersonWR From NC State | NC State | 115 |
| Zuriah FisherDE From Penn State | Penn State | 75 |
| Alex VanSumerenDT From Michigan State | Michigan State | 72 |
| Deven BryantLB From Washington | Washington | 59 |
| Jontez WilliamsCB From Iowa State | Iowa State | 47 |
| Ethan BroughamDE From Rice | Rice | 15 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Situational efficiency · 2025
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.