2026 Week 3 · Conference game
USC at Rutgers
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
SHI Stadium
USC
Big Ten
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- 17.7
- National rank
- 12
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 19%
Rutgers
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 2.7
- National rank
- 61
- Proj. wins
- 5.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
USC
84%
Rutgers
16%
Rutgers 90% CI: 12% – 22% Δ rating 15.0
USC is the model's favorite at 84%. Rutgers has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Rutgers — venue-specific learned value (n=33 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
USC offense
53 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Rutgers offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- SHI Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No