Conference game
USC at Indiana
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
USC 17% Underdog
Indiana 83% Favorite
Indiana is the model's favorite at 83%. USC has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for Indiana — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
USC offense
31 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Indiana offense
Higher fit 38 / 100 Style-neutral matchup