Conference game
Maryland at USC
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Maryland 8% Underdog
USC 92% Favorite
USC is the model's favorite at 92%. Maryland has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for USC — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Maryland offense
Higher fit 41 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
USC offense
39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup