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Maryland

Terrapins · Big Ten

GIE rank
#117
of 138 FBS
Rating
1399
2026 Week 10
Record
2-6
2026 season
Proj record
3-9
12-game season

Head coach Mike Locksley Year 8 with Maryland

Season projection

2026 W10 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
3.1
1.1 more wins in 4 left
Win range (90%)
2 to 5
Final rank (90%)
#118 (102–128)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
0%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Maryland's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 6 vs Hampton Non-FBS Win, 62-0 Final
Wk 2 Sep 12 at UConn FBS Independents Win, 38-14 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 vs Virginia Tech ACC Loss, 26-35 Final
Wk 4 Sep 26 vs UCLA Big Ten Loss, 3-54 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 at Nebraska Big Ten Loss, 23-48 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 at Ohio State Big Ten Loss, 16-45 Final
Wk 7 Oct 17 vs Rutgers Big Ten Loss, 30-37 Final
Wk 8 Bye
Wk 9 Oct 31 vs Illinois Big Ten Loss, 17-20 Final
Wk 10 Nov 7 at Purdue Big Ten Win probability: 35%
Wk 11 Nov 14 vs Wisconsin Big Ten Win probability: 26%
Wk 12 Nov 21 at USC Big Ten Win probability: 9%
Wk 13 Nov 28 vs Penn State Big Ten Win probability: 25%

Latest stories

  • Recap

    Maryland: 2026 Week 7 recap

    Maryland sits at No. 55 in GIE's ratings after a brutal 48–23 loss at Nebraska in Week 5—a result that left the Terrapins at 2–3 and essentially stalled their season momentum. The rating held steady week-over-week, a hollow consolation;…

  • Recap

    Maryland: 2026 Week 3 recap

    Maryland sits at 47th nationally after a dominant 62–0 win over Hampton in Week 1, though GIE hasn't budged the rating—a sign the model views the blowout as baseline expectation rather than revelation. The Terps head to UConn this week…

  • Recap

    Maryland: 2025 Week 16 recap

    Maryland sits at 4–8 after a 38–28 road loss to Michigan State in Week 14, holding a 0.6 rating and ranking 75th in GIE's assessment. The defeat underscored the Terrapins' offensive struggles—they've been unable to consistently move the…

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

Returning production · 2026

79 score

  • Quarterback 97% (2/5)
  • Offensive line 88% (14/16) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 45% (15/26)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 80% (20/31)
  • Secondary 64% (11/19)
  • Special teams 99% (5/8)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

−0.3 rating

15 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Maryland incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Na'eem Abdul-Rahim GladdingWR From Old Dominion Old Dominion 123
Chris Durr Jr.WR From Wyoming Wyoming 96
Cardell WilliamsQB From Sacramento State Sacramento State 84
Jordan ScruggsDB From West Virginia West Virginia 57
Derrick LeBlancDL From UCF UCF 46
Preston HowardTE From Auburn Auburn 33

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 39.6%
    67th — average
  • Red-zone TD rate 8.4%
    11th — bottom tier
  • 4th-down aggression 37.5%
    57th — average
  • Late & close 4.0 yds/play
    22th — bottom tier

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.