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Conference game

Maryland at Purdue

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:30 PM EST

GIE win probability

Maryland 33% Underdog
Purdue 67% Favorite
Purdue 90% CI
58–75%
Δ rating
Purdue +2.3

Purdue is the model's favorite at 67%. Maryland has a 33% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Purdue — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Maryland offense Higher fit 50 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Purdue offense 40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup