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Conference game

Wisconsin at Maryland

Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST

GIE win probability

Wisconsin 81% Favorite
Maryland 19% Underdog
Wisconsin 90% CI
75–86%
Δ rating
Wisconsin +10.8

Wisconsin is the model's favorite at 81%. Maryland has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.0 rating points baked in for Maryland — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Wisconsin offense 38 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Maryland offense Higher fit 39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup