Conference game
Penn State at Maryland
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Penn State 82% Favorite
Maryland 18% Underdog
Penn State is the model's favorite at 82%. Maryland has a 18% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.0 rating points baked in for Maryland — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Penn State offense
Higher fit 38 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Maryland offense
36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup