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Conference game

UCLA at Minnesota

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST

GIE win probability

UCLA 75% Favorite
Minnesota 25% Underdog
UCLA 90% CI
67–81%
Δ rating
UCLA +10.5

UCLA is the model's favorite at 75%. Minnesota has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Minnesota — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

UCLA offense Higher fit 41 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Minnesota offense 40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup