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2026 Week 3 · Conference game

Purdue at UCLA

Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 3:00 AM UTC

Rose Bowl

Purdue
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
-2.2
National rank
78
Proj. wins
3.5
Playoff prob.
0%
UCLA
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
5.4
National rank
46
Proj. wins
3.9
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Purdue
23%
UCLA
77%
UCLA 90% CI: 70% – 83% Δ rating 7.6

UCLA is the model's favorite at 77%. Purdue has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for UCLA — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Purdue offense
40 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

UCLA offense
47 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Sunday, September 20, 2026 · 3:00 AM UTC
Venue
Rose Bowl
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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