Conference game
Penn State at Washington
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Penn State 45% Underdog
Washington 55% Favorite
Washington is the model's favorite at 55%. Penn State has a 45% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for Washington — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Penn State offense
30 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Washington offense
Higher fit 34 / 100 Style-neutral matchup