2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Penn State at Washington
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Husky Stadium
Penn State
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 16.2
- National rank
- 17
- Proj. wins
- 8.9
- Playoff prob.
- 33%
Washington
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 15.8
- National rank
- 18
- Proj. wins
- 7.9
- Playoff prob.
- 32%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Penn State
45%
Washington
55%
Washington 90% CI: 46% – 64% Δ rating 0.4
Washington is the model's favorite at 55%. Penn State has a 45% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.1 rating points baked in for Washington — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Penn State offense
30 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Washington offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Husky Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No