Cougars · Big 12
Head coach Kalani Sitake Year 11 with BYU
Their playoff probability after a win or a loss in each pivotal game. (Interactive toggles coming once the scenario sim finishes for this team.)
| Game | Win | Loss | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| at Utah | 94% | 4% | +90pp |
| vs Baylor | 71% | 2% | +69pp |
| at Kansas | 69% | 1% | +68pp |
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 6 | vs Utah Tech Non-FBS | Win, 63-7 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | vs Arizona Big 12 | Win, 28-17 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | at Colorado State Pac-12 | Win, 41-23 Final |
| Wk 4 | Bye | |
| Wk 5 Oct 3 | at TCU Big 12 | Win, 17-10 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | vs Iowa State Big 12 | Win, 24-10 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 17 | vs Notre Dame FBS Independents | Win, 28-24 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | at UCF Big 12 | Loss, 31-39 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | vs Arizona State Big 12 | Win, 27-20 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | at Utah Big 12 | |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | vs Baylor Big 12 | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | at Kansas Big 12 | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | vs Cincinnati Big 12 | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
82 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
−0.8 rating
9 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Cade UluaveLB From California | California | 158 |
| Walker LyonsTE From USC | USC | 87 |
| Jayven WilliamsCB From Mississippi State | Mississippi State | 44 |
| Roger Saleapaga IITE From Oregon | Oregon | 10 |
| Kyler KasperWR From Oregon | Oregon | 9 |
| Jr SiaOL From Utah State | Utah State | — |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
