2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Baylor at BYU
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
LaVell Edwards Stadium
Baylor
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.8
- National rank
- 53
- Proj. wins
- 5.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
BYU
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 14.9
- National rank
- 21
- Proj. wins
- 8.2
- Playoff prob.
- 17%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Baylor
15%
BYU
85%
BYU 90% CI: 80% – 89% Δ rating 11.1
BYU is the model's favorite at 85%. Baylor has a 15% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.8 rating points baked in for BYU — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Baylor offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
BYU offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- LaVell Edwards Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No