2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Iowa State at BYU
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 2:15 AM UTC
LaVell Edwards Stadium
Iowa State
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -0.4
- National rank
- 69
- Proj. wins
- 7.1
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
BYU
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 14.9
- National rank
- 21
- Proj. wins
- 8.2
- Playoff prob.
- 17%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Iowa State
9%
BYU
91%
BYU 90% CI: 87% – 93% Δ rating 15.3
BYU is the model's favorite at 91%. Iowa State has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.8 rating points baked in for BYU — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Iowa State offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
BYU offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 2:15 AM UTC
- Venue
- LaVell Edwards Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No