Conference game
UCF at Kansas
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 3:45 PM EST
GIE win probability
UCF 45% Underdog
Kansas 55% Favorite
Kansas is the model's favorite at 55%. UCF has a 45% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.3 rating points baked in for Kansas — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UCF offense
Higher fit 39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Kansas offense
32 / 100 Style-neutral matchup