Weekly recaps
Every FBS team, every Monday. Per-team recap of the weekend's results — what GIE saw, what happened, what changed.
Week 7
100 recapsACC 12
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston College: 2026 Week 7 recap | Boston College sits at 2–3 with a rating of −4.6, holding steady in GIE's assessment after last week's 25–16 road loss to SMU. The Eagles haven't budged in the model, a sign that the result aligned with expectations—and the underlying… | 2–3 | #90 | No change | −4.6 |
| California: 2026 Week 7 recap | California sits at 2–3 after a 39–31 road loss to UNLV in Week 5, with GIE holding the Bears at a rating of −3.2 and a projected 4.1 wins for the season. The offense continues to struggle in critical moments: a red-zone TD rate of 14% and… | 2–3 | #81 | No change | −3.2 |
| Clemson: 2026 Week 7 recap | Clemson sits at 3–2 through five games, holding a rating of 4.9 and ranking 54th in GIE's assessment. The Tigers took a 41–13 home loss to Miami in Week 5—a result that left their rating unchanged, suggesting the model already had them… | 3–2 | #54 | No change | 4.9 |
| Duke: 2026 Week 7 recap | Duke remains undefeated at 4-0, holding steady at No. 34 in GIE's ratings with a 10.2 score after last week's dominant 62-7 win over William & Mary. The Blue Devils haven't budged in the model's assessment, suggesting the victory—while… | 4–0 | #34 | No change | 10.2 |
| Florida State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Florida State sits at 53rd overall with a 3–2 record after dismantling Virginia 38–7 in Week 5, though GIE's rating remains flat at 5.7. The blowout didn't move the needle because the Seminoles' underlying efficiency metrics remain… | 3–2 | #53 | No change | 5.7 |
| Georgia Tech: 2026 Week 7 recap | Georgia Tech sits at 1–3 after falling to Stanford 34–27 in Week 4, with the model holding them at a rating of −0.1 and ranking 69th overall. The loss exposed a familiar problem: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 16% means the Yellow… | 1–3 | #69 | No change | −0.1 |
| Louisville: 2026 Week 7 recap | Louisville sits at 2–3 after dropping a three-point road decision to NC State in Week 5, and the rating hasn't budged—still 9.9, still ranked 36th. The Cards are generating expected wins around 5.5, a gap suggesting they've underperformed… | 2–3 | #36 | No change | 9.9 |
| Miami: 2026 Week 7 recap | Miami sits at No. 5 overall, undefeated through five games with a 25.7 rating that hasn't budged week-over-week—a sign the Hurricanes are performing exactly to expectation rather than trending up or down. Their most recent statement came… | 5–0 | #5 | No change | 25.7 |
| NC State: 2026 Week 7 recap | NC State sits at 3–2 after a 31–28 home win over Louisville in Week 5, though GIE's rating remains flat at 3.4, ranking the Wolfpack 58th nationally. The stagnant movement reflects underlying offensive inefficiency: a 23% red-zone… | 3–2 | #58 | No change | 3.4 |
| North Carolina: 2026 Week 7 recap | North Carolina sits at 2–2 with a rating of 3, unchanged from last week despite the Week 5 home loss to Notre Dame (26–37). The Tar Heels' offensive efficiency remains a constraint—a red-zone TD rate of just 14 percent and third-down… | 2–2 | #60 | No change | 3.0 |
| Pittsburgh: 2026 Week 7 recap | Pittsburgh remains unbeaten at 5–0, holding a rating of 14.7 and ranking 20th nationally per GIE. The Panthers notched a road win at Virginia Tech last week, 35–33, in a tight contest that underscores both their resilience and their… | 5–0 | #20 | No change | 14.7 |
| SMU: 2026 Week 7 recap | SMU sits at 26th in the ratings after a steady 4–1 start, but last week's 25–16 win over Boston College didn't move the needle—GIE holds the Mustangs flat at a rating of 13. The red-zone efficiency tells part of the story: converting just… | 4–1 | #26 | No change | 13.0 |
American Athletic 8
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Army: 2026 Week 7 recap | Army sits at 2–2 with a rating of −0.8, ranked 72nd, after dropping a close one to Louisiana Tech 31–29 in Week 5. The Black Knights' rating hasn't budged since last week, suggesting the model saw that result coming—a narrow road loss… | 2–2 | #72 | No change | −0.8 |
| Charlotte: 2026 Week 7 recap | Charlotte remains in freefall at 0–5, rated −27.3 by GIE and holding the 137th slot nationally. The 59–8 home loss to Memphis in Week 5 epitomized the offensive collapse: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 15% and third-down conversion… | 0–5 | #137 | No change | −27.3 |
| East Carolina: 2026 Week 7 recap | East Carolina sits at 2–2 with a rating of −2.8, unchanged from last week despite a dominant 42–9 win over North Carolina Central in Week 4. The Pirates' floor appears solid—they're converting 45% of third downs and showing aggression on… | 2–2 | #79 | No change | −2.8 |
| Florida Atlantic: 2026 Week 7 recap | Florida Atlantic sits at 4–1 with a rating of −4.2, holding steady after last week's 66–10 demolition of Texas Southern. The Owls haven't budged in GIE's eyes, which is telling: dominance against a FCS opponent doesn't move the needle.… | 4–1 | #87 | No change | −4.2 |
| Memphis: 2026 Week 7 recap | Memphis sits at 63rd overall with a 4–1 record after demolishing Charlotte 59–8 in Week 5, though GIE's rating held steady at 2.3. The Tigers have built real equity in the American Athletic—they're projected to win 8.4 games and own a 27%… | 4–1 | #63 | No change | 2.3 |
| Navy: 2026 Week 7 recap | Navy sits at 1–3 with a rating of −3.7, unchanged from last week after losing to Air Force 14–9 in Week 5. The Midshipmen have managed just 22% of their red-zone possessions in touchdowns, a critical efficiency gap that's dragging down an… | 1–3 | #85 | No change | −3.7 |
| North Texas: 2026 Week 7 recap | North Texas sits at 3–2 and rated −5.7 by GIE, holding rank 91 overall. The Mean Green's most recent signature moment came in a road thriller at Tulsa, where they edged the Golden Hurricane 45–44 in Week 5—a late-game sequence that hints… | 3–2 | #91 | No change | −5.7 |
| Rice: 2026 Week 7 recap | Rice sits at 1–4 with a rating of −15.1, unchanged from last week after falling to UTSA 16–14 at home in Week 5—a tight loss that underscores the Owls' offensive struggles. Their red-zone touchdown rate of 21% and third-down conversion… | 1–4 | #119 | No change | −15.1 |
Big 12 11
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona: 2026 Week 7 recap | Arizona sits at No. 33 nationally with a 4–1 record, holding steady at a 10.7 rating after last week's dominant 34–7 win over Cincinnati. The blowout showcased what the Wildcats can do when clicking, but GIE's projection of 8.3 expected… | 4–1 | #33 | No change | 10.7 |
| Arizona State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Arizona State sits at 2–4 after a 55–19 home loss to Baylor in Week 5, a result that crystallized deeper offensive struggles. GIE's rating holds steady at 3, with the Sun Devils projected to win just 5.1 games this season—effectively… | 2–4 | #60 | No change | 3.0 |
| Baylor: 2026 Week 7 recap | Baylor sits at 43rd overall with a 4–1 record and a GIE rating of 8.1, unchanged from last week despite a dominant 55–19 road win over Arizona State in Week 5. The Bears are projecting toward 8.2 expected wins, a modest ceiling for their… | 4–1 | #43 | No change | 8.1 |
| BYU: 2026 Week 7 recap | BYU sits at 17th overall with a perfect 4–0 record, though GIE's rating held steady at 16.3 this week with no movement either direction. The Cougars' road win over TCU (17–10 in Week 5) demonstrated resilience in close quarters, but the… | 4–0 | #17 | No change | 16.3 |
| Cincinnati: 2026 Week 7 recap | Cincinnati sits at 4–1 and rated 38th by GIE after a brutal 34–7 loss to Arizona in Week 5. The Bearcats' rating held steady despite the blowout, suggesting the model had already priced in vulnerability—and that loss confirmed it.… | 4–1 | #38 | No change | 9.2 |
| Colorado: 2026 Week 7 recap | Colorado sits at 2–3 with a rating of −3.3, and nothing has shifted in GIE's assessment since last week. The Buffaloes' most recent outing—a 29–7 home loss to Texas Tech in Week 5—crystallized their offensive struggles: a 14.5% red-zone… | 2–3 | #82 | No change | −3.3 |
| Houston: 2026 Week 7 recap | Houston sits at No. 29 overall after a 4–1 start, holding steady at a 12.1 rating following their 27–17 home win over UCF in Week 5. The Cougars have built early season momentum, though GIE projects 8.1 expected wins from here—a signal… | 4–1 | #29 | No change | 12.1 |
| Iowa State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Iowa State sits at 3–2 after a 45–42 home win over West Virginia in Week 5, though GIE's rating holds steady at 3.4, ranking them 58th nationally. The close victory masked underlying inefficiency: a 15% red-zone touchdown rate signals the… | 3–2 | #58 | No change | 3.4 |
| Kansas: 2026 Week 7 recap | Kansas sits at 66th overall after a dominant 55–0 home win over Middle Tennessee in Week 5, but the rating hasn't budged—a sign the blowout came against a severely outmatched opponent. At 2–2 on the season, the Jayhawks are tracking… | 2–2 | #66 | No change | 1.0 |
| Kansas State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Kansas State holds steady at No. 23 after dropping a 31–26 road decision to Cincinnati in Week 4—a result that left the Wildcats' rating unchanged despite the loss. The team sits at 3–1, but GIE's projection of 7.6 expected wins suggests… | 3–1 | #23 | No change | 14.0 |
| Oklahoma State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Oklahoma State sits at 3–1 after a dominant 41–24 road win at West Virginia that kept the Cowboys' rating steady at 10.2, good for 34th nationally. The lopsided victory masks underlying efficiency issues: a red-zone touchdown rate of just… | 3–1 | #34 | No change | 10.2 |
Big Ten 14
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois: 2026 Week 7 recap | Illinois sits at a 2–3 record with a rating of 8.5, holding 41st in the team standings—a position that reflects a season of narrow margins and missed opportunities. Last week's loss to Purdue at home (17–24) exemplifies the problem: a… | 2–3 | #41 | No change | 8.5 |
| Indiana: 2026 Week 7 recap | Indiana remains undefeated at 5–0 and holds the No. 4 rating (26.9) heading into Week 6, though last week's dominant 47–15 road win over Rutgers didn't move the needle in GIE's eyes—the rating held steady. The Hoosiers' late-game leverage… | 5–0 | #4 | No change | 26.9 |
| Iowa: 2026 Week 7 recap | Iowa sits at 19th in the latest GIE ratings after a 31-14 loss to Ohio State in Week 5—a result that left the rating essentially flat but underscored some operational issues. The Hawkeyes are 4-1 on the season with an expected-wins… | 4–1 | #19 | No change | 14.8 |
| Maryland: 2026 Week 7 recap | Maryland sits at No. 55 in GIE's ratings after a brutal 48–23 loss at Nebraska in Week 5—a result that left the Terrapins at 2–3 and essentially stalled their season momentum. The rating held steady week-over-week, a hollow consolation;… | 2–3 | #55 | No change | 3.9 |
| Michigan: 2026 Week 7 recap | Michigan sits at 22nd overall with a 3–2 record after dropping last week's road matchup to Minnesota 20–14. The rating holds steady at 14.3, suggesting the loss confirmed what GIE already knew: the Wolverines are treading water in a… | 3–2 | #22 | No change | 14.3 |
| Michigan State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Michigan State sits at 2–3 with a rating of 0.3, anchored at 67th nationally. Last week's 31–3 road loss to Wisconsin crystallized the offensive struggles: a red-zone TD rate of 15% and third-down conversion rate of 37% underscore an… | 2–3 | #67 | No change | 0.3 |
| Minnesota: 2026 Week 7 recap | Minnesota sits at 52nd overall with a 4–1 record after beating Michigan 20–14 at home in Week 5, though GIE's rating held steady at 6.5, suggesting the model views the win as confirmation rather than a breakthrough. The Gophers' strength… | 4–1 | #52 | No change | 6.5 |
| Nebraska: 2026 Week 7 recap | Nebraska remains undefeated at 5–0 and holds a rank of 15 nationally, though GIE's rating has flatlined week-to-week at 16.9. The model projects 9.7 expected wins and pegs their playoff probability at 66%, but there's a warning buried in… | 5–0 | #15 | No change | 16.9 |
| Northwestern: 2026 Week 7 recap | Northwestern sits at No. 50 overall with a 3–1 record and a GIE rating of 7.3, unchanged from last week despite a dominant 34–13 home win over Penn State in Week 5. The Wildcats' red-zone efficiency remains a concern—they're converting… | 3–1 | #50 | No change | 7.3 |
| Ohio State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Ohio State holds steady at No. 2 with a 4–1 record and a rating of 28.8, unchanged from last week despite the dominant 31–14 road win over Iowa in Week 5. The Buckeyes are converting third downs at 48%, which keeps drives alive, but a… | 4–1 | #2 | No change | 28.8 |
| Oregon: 2026 Week 7 recap | Oregon sits at No. 8 with a 3–1 record and a rating of 21.6, holding steady from last week despite the bye. The Ducks' signature moment came in Week 4, when they traveled to USC and dominated, winning 41–27—a statement of Big Ten… | 3–1 | #8 | No change | 21.6 |
| Penn State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Penn State sits at No. 15 with a 3–2 record after a lopsided 34–13 loss to Northwestern in Week 5. The rating held steady at 16.9, suggesting GIE views this setback as in line with where the Nittany Lions actually stand. The troubling… | 3–2 | #15 | No change | 16.9 |
| Purdue: 2026 Week 7 recap | Purdue sits at 2–3 after a road win at Illinois in Week 5, but the rating hasn't budged—GIE still has them at −6.4, ranked 94th. The Boilermakers are converting just 40% on third down and a concerning 13% of red-zone drives into… | 2–3 | #94 | No change | −6.4 |
| Rutgers: 2026 Week 7 recap | Rutgers sits at 1–4 with a rating of −1.6, holding steady at rank 75 after absorbing a 47–15 home loss to Indiana last week. The margin was decisive, but the underlying numbers suggest deeper issues: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 14%… | 1–4 | #75 | No change | −1.6 |
Conference USA 9
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware: 2026 Week 7 recap | Delaware sits at 2–3 and hasn't budged in GIE's rankings since last week, holding steady at No. 110 with a rating of −10.7. The Fightin' Blue Hens took a 30–14 loss at home to Liberty in Week 5—a deficit that underscores their larger… | 2–3 | #110 | No change | −10.7 |
| Florida International: 2026 Week 7 recap | Florida International remains stuck at the bottom tier of Conference USA with a 2–2 record and a rating that hasn't budged in weeks. Last time we checked in, the Panthers dominated Long Island University 20–3 at home, but that win hasn't… | 2–2 | #99 | No change | −7.6 |
| Jacksonville State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Jacksonville State sits at 3–2 after a Week 4 win over Middle Tennessee, holding a rating of −2.2 and ranking 77th per GIE. The Gamecocks haven't moved in the model's assessment since last week, suggesting the victory merely confirmed… | 3–2 | #77 | No change | −2.2 |
| Kennesaw State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Kennesaw State sits at 1–3 with a rating of −11.7, holding rank 113 in GIE's assessment. The Owls' most recent action came in Week 4, a 17–14 road loss to Arkansas State that stalled any momentum. The rating has held steady week-to-week,… | 1–3 | #113 | No change | −11.7 |
| Liberty: 2026 Week 7 recap | Liberty sits at 4–1 and holds a 2.5 rating heading into Week 7, unchanged from last week despite the bye. The Flames' most recent action came in Week 5, when they dismantled Delaware 30–14 on the road—a convincing win that underscored… | 4–1 | #62 | No change | 2.5 |
| Middle Tennessee: 2026 Week 7 recap | Middle Tennessee sits at 2–3 with a rating of −16, holding steady from last week despite the devastating 55–0 road loss to Kansas in Week 5. That scoreline wasn't an outlier—it exposed fundamental offensive struggles that linger: a… | 2–3 | #122 | No change | −16.0 |
| Missouri State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Missouri State remains anchored at 125th in GIE's ratings after a stagnant week—the Bears sit 1–3 with no movement from their prior −17.6 rating. Their last outing, a 34–24 loss at SMU in Week 4, epitomized the offensive fragility that's… | 1–3 | #125 | No change | −17.6 |
| New Mexico State: 2026 Week 7 recap | New Mexico State sits at 2–3 with a rating of −17.8, holding steady from the prior week after a dominant 34–13 home win over Western Kentucky in Week 5. That victory demonstrated offensive firepower, but the rating hasn't budged—a sign… | 2–3 | #126 | No change | −17.8 |
| Sam Houston: 2026 Week 7 recap | Sam Houston sits at 1–3 with a rating of −14.1, ranked 117th by GIE, and hasn't moved in the model's assessment over the past week. The Bearkats' most recent outing—a 49–14 road loss to Texas Tech in Week 4—underscored a troubling… | 1–3 | #117 | No change | −14.1 |
FBS Independents 1
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame: 2026 Week 7 recap | Notre Dame sits at No. 3 with a perfect 5–0 record and a rating of 28.1, holding steady after its 37–26 road win over North Carolina in Week 5. The Irish have largely controlled their schedule, though a red-zone TD rate of 17% suggests… | 5–0 | #3 | No change | 28.1 |
Mid-American 11
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron: 2026 Week 7 recap | Akron sits at 1–4 after a 41–17 road loss to Central Michigan in Week 5, holding a rating of −23.1 and ranked 132nd by GIE. The Zips have flatlined in the ratings since last week—no movement—which underscores how thoroughly they've been… | 1–4 | #132 | No change | −23.1 |
| Ball State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Ball State sits at 1–4 after dropping last week's home contest to Toledo 39–24, and GIE's model shows no movement: the Cardinals remain at a −25 rating and ranked 135th. The core issue isn't variance—it's execution across the board. A… | 1–4 | #135 | No change | −25.0 |
| Bowling Green: 2026 Week 7 recap | Bowling Green sits at 1–4 after a Week 5 road win over Miami (OH), 24–20, but the rating holds steady at −26.4, suggesting the victory didn't shift the broader assessment. The Falcons' situational profile is the real story: a red-zone TD… | 1–4 | #136 | No change | −26.4 |
| Buffalo: 2026 Week 7 recap | Buffalo sits at 2–3 after dropping Week 5 at home to Western Michigan, 20–17, a loss that didn't budge their GIE rating of −17.2 (ranked 124th). The culprit is evident in the numbers: a red-zone TD rate of just 15% means scoring… | 2–3 | #124 | No change | −17.2 |
| Central Michigan: 2026 Week 7 recap | Central Michigan sits at 3–2 after dismantling Akron 41–17 in Week 5, but the Chippewas haven't budged in GIE's rankings—still 129th with a rating of −18.7. That stasis masks a real problem: a red-zone TD rate of just 12% means the… | 3–2 | #129 | No change | −18.7 |
| Eastern Michigan: 2026 Week 7 recap | Eastern Michigan sits at 3–3 and rated −18 by GIE, placing them 127th nationally—a position unchanged from last week despite the Eagles' dominant 38–14 road win over Massachusetts in Week 5. That victory should have moved the needle, but… | 3–3 | #127 | No change | −18.0 |
| Kent State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Kent State sits at 2–3 after a 13–10 home loss to Ohio in Week 5, with a rating of −22.4 that ranks 130th nationally. The stagnant rating reflects deeper offensive struggles: a red-zone TD rate of 13% and third-down conversion rate of 31%… | 2–3 | #130 | No change | −22.4 |
| Massachusetts: 2026 Week 7 recap | Massachusetts sits at 4–1 but hasn't moved in GIE's estimation—a stagnant rating of −6.2 masks a troubling reality. The week-5 home loss to Eastern Michigan (38–14) exposed fundamental issues: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 12.8% and… | 4–1 | #93 | No change | −6.2 |
| Miami (OH): 2026 Week 7 recap | Miami (OH) sits at 2–3 with a GIE rating of −4.3, holding steady at rank 88 after a one-point loss to Bowling Green in Week 5. The RedHawks' offensive efficiency remains the core problem: their red-zone touchdown rate sits at just 15%,… | 2–3 | #88 | No change | −4.3 |
| Ohio: 2026 Week 7 recap | Ohio scraped past Kent State 13–10 in Week 5, but the Bobcats remain stuck at a −10.5 rating and rank 109th in GIE's assessment heading into Week 7. The win didn't budge the needle because the performance itself is fragile: a red-zone TD… | 3–2 | #109 | No change | −10.5 |
| Sacramento State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Sacramento State sits at 1–4 with a rating of −22.9, unchanged from last week despite the bye. The Hornets' most recent contest was a lopsided loss to Massachusetts (35–6 in Week 4), a result that underscores deeper offensive… | 1–4 | #131 | No change | −22.9 |
Mountain West 7
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force: 2026 Week 7 recap | Air Force sits at 3–1 after a 14–9 victory over Navy in Week 5, though GIE's rating holds steady at −3.4 and ranks them 83rd nationally. The Falcons are converting 45% of third downs and showing aggression on fourth down (55%), but a… | 3–1 | #83 | No change | −3.4 |
| Hawai'i: 2026 Week 7 recap | Hawai'i remains firmly at the bottom of the Mountain West after falling to San José State 20–16 at home in Week 5, dropping to 1–4 on the season. GIE's rating hasn't budged—the Rainbow Warriors sit at −12.2, ranked 114th overall—a… | 1–4 | #114 | No change | −12.2 |
| Nevada: 2026 Week 7 recap | Nevada sits at 1–3 and hasn't budged in GIE's ratings since last week, holding steady at 95th nationally with a minus-6.5 rating. The Wolf Pack's loss to Air Force in Week 4 epitomizes their season: they were home, scored 33 points, and… | 1–3 | #95 | No change | −6.5 |
| New Mexico: 2026 Week 7 recap | New Mexico sits at 4–1 with a rating of 7.7, holding steady at 46th nationally after dismantling UTEP 61–7 in Week 5. The Lobos have converted third downs at a 36% clip and shown willingness to be aggressive on fourth down, though a… | 4–1 | #46 | No change | 7.7 |
| North Dakota State: 2026 Week 7 recap | North Dakota State remains unbeaten at 5-0, holding steady at a GIE rating of 7.8 and ranked 45th nationally. The Bison throttled Wyoming 28-0 in Week 5, a dominant defensive performance that kept them on track. Their red-zone efficiency… | 5–0 | #45 | No change | 7.8 |
| Northern Illinois: 2026 Week 7 recap | Northern Illinois sits at 0–4 after falling to Georgia State 35–14 in Week 4, and GIE's rating hasn't budged: the Huskies remain at −23.9, ranked 133rd. The offense has sputtered across the board—a red-zone TD rate of just 11% and… | 0–4 | #133 | No change | −23.9 |
| San José State: 2026 Week 7 recap | San José State sits at 3–2 after a road win over Hawai'i in Week 5, but GIE's rating hasn't budged—they remain at −15.1, ranked 119th. The Spartans are treading water: their third-down conversion rate of 41% and a red-zone TD rate of just… | 3–2 | #119 | No change | −15.1 |
Pac-12 5
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Boise State sits at No. 47 overall with a 4–1 record and a rating of 7.6, unchanged from last week despite a dominant 37–18 home win over Utah State in Week 5. The Broncos' rating stability masks an uneven underlying picture: their… | 4–1 | #47 | No change | 7.6 |
| Colorado State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Colorado State sits at 2–3 with a rating of −7.3, unmoved from last week after the Oregon State blowout—a 56–26 loss at home that exposed critical execution gaps. The red-zone touchdown rate of 21% tells the story: the Rams are… | 2–3 | #97 | No change | −7.3 |
| Fresno State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Fresno State sits at 4–1 after a dominant road win at Washington State, where the Bulldogs' defense held the Cougars to just 6 points. The rating has held steady at −0.3, leaving them ranked 70th by GIE—a perch that reflects genuine… | 4–1 | #70 | No change | −0.3 |
| Oregon State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Oregon State sits at 3–2 after a dominant 56–26 road win over Colorado State in Week 5, though GIE's rating hasn't shifted—the Beavers remain ranked 65th with a 1.2 mark. The lopsided victory masks some underlying concerns: a red-zone TD… | 3–2 | #65 | No change | 1.2 |
| San Diego State: 2026 Week 7 recap | San Diego State sits at a 2–3 record with a rating of −7.8, holding rank 100 overall—a standing that hasn't budged since last week despite the Aztecs' narrow 31–29 home win over Texas State in Week 5. The victory showcased late-game… | 2–3 | #100 | No change | −7.8 |
SEC 11
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama: 2026 Week 7 recap | Alabama sits at 5–0 with a rating of 23, holding sixth place nationally and a 97% playoff probability according to GIE. Last week's demolition of Mississippi State (56–23) didn't move the needle in the model's assessment, suggesting the… | 5–0 | #6 | No change | 23.0 |
| Arkansas: 2026 Week 7 recap | Arkansas sits at 70th overall with a 2–3 record and a rating holding steady at −0.3 after last week's 34–7 loss to Texas A&M. The gap tells the story: the Razorbacks managed just 7 points in that road game, and the underlying picture… | 2–3 | #70 | No change | −0.3 |
| Auburn: 2026 Week 7 recap | Auburn sits at 3–2 after dropping last week's road contest at Tennessee 24–14, a loss that left the Tigers' rating unchanged at 11.4 and ranked 31st overall. The stagnant rating reflects a season defined by inconsistency: the offense has… | 3–2 | #31 | No change | 11.4 |
| Florida: 2026 Week 7 recap | Florida sits at 12th overall with a 4–1 record, but last week's 45–17 loss at Missouri exposed real problems. The Gators' rating held steady at 18.5, suggesting GIE saw the defeat coming—a blowout to a ranked opponent didn't shift… | 4–1 | #12 | No change | 18.5 |
| Georgia: 2026 Week 7 recap | Georgia holds firm at No. 1 with a rating of 30.2 after dispatching Vanderbilt 38–14 last week, though the unchanged rating signals that the result aligned with expectations rather than reshaping the trajectory. At 5–0, the Bulldogs are… | 5–0 | #1 | No change | 30.2 |
| Kentucky: 2026 Week 7 recap | Kentucky sits at 44th overall after a dramatic road win at South Carolina that pushed the Wildcats to 4–1. The one-point victory in Week 5 moved nothing on GIE's rating—they remain at an 8—which tells you the model saw that outcome as… | 4–1 | #44 | No change | 8.0 |
| LSU: 2026 Week 7 recap | LSU sits at 10th overall with a 4–1 record and a rating of 21.3, unchanged from last week despite the 63–14 demolition of McNeese at home. The lopsided win over a FCS opponent didn't move the needle—GIE's assessment of the Tigers remains… | 4–1 | #10 | No change | 21.3 |
| Mississippi State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Mississippi State holds steady at 18th in GIE's ratings after a brutal Week 5 loss to Alabama—a 56-23 home defeat that effectively reset the season's narrative. The Bulldogs are 4-1 on the field, but the model's expected-wins figure of… | 4–1 | #18 | No change | 15.1 |
| Missouri: 2026 Week 7 recap | Missouri sits at 25th overall after a dominant 45-17 win over Florida in Week 5, though the rating held flat week-to-week—no movement up or down. The Tigers are 4-1 and tracking toward 8.5 expected wins by season's end, which puts them… | 4–1 | #25 | No change | 13.7 |
| Oklahoma: 2026 Week 7 recap | Oklahoma sits at 27th in the latest ratings with a 2-2 record, and the needle hasn't budged since last week—a sign that the Georgia loss (41-13) still defines the program's standing. That red-zone efficiency, sitting at 18%, explains much… | 2–2 | #27 | No change | 12.8 |
| Ole Miss: 2026 Week 7 recap | Ole Miss sits at 3–1 with a rating of 11.1, but last week's 52–28 loss to Florida at home was a stark reality check. The Rebels haven't budged in GIE's rankings since that defeat, a sign the model had already priced in vulnerability. The… | 3–1 | #32 | No change | 11.1 |
Sun Belt 11
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| App State: 2026 Week 7 recap | App State sits at 3–1 with a rating of −4.4, holding rank 89 overall, though the model sees a ceiling of roughly 7.7 wins for the season. The loss to NC State (41–31 in Week 4) exposed real limitations: a red-zone TD rate of just 18% and… | 3–1 | #89 | No change | −4.4 |
| Arkansas State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Arkansas State sits at 2–3 after dropping a 23–20 road decision to Louisiana in Week 5, and the rating holds steady at −9.5 with no movement from the prior week. The Red Wolves remain ranked 107th by GIE, a position that reflects… | 2–3 | #107 | No change | −9.5 |
| Coastal Carolina: 2026 Week 7 recap | Coastal Carolina sits at 1–4 and holding a rating of −11.4, unchanged from last week despite a Week 5 home loss to Georgia Southern (24–31). The Chanticleers' struggles run deep: a red-zone TD rate of just 13% and third-down conversion… | 1–4 | #112 | No change | −11.4 |
| Georgia Southern: 2026 Week 7 recap | Georgia Southern sits at 2–3 after a convincing road win at Coastal Carolina in Week 5, but the rating hasn't budged—still at −8.6, good for 103rd overall. The Eagles' efficient third-down conversion rate (42%) and late-game execution… | 2–3 | #103 | No change | −8.6 |
| Georgia State: 2026 Week 7 recap | Georgia State sits at 4–1 with a rating of −11.2, holding steady from the week prior. The Panthers demolished Old Dominion 42–10 in Week 5, a dominant showing that underscores their current position in the Sun Belt. However, the… | 4–1 | #111 | No change | −11.2 |
| Idaho: 2026 Week 7 recap | Idaho sits at 1–4 after a thrilling one-point home win over Montana State in Week 5, a result that showcased the Vandals' ability to close tight games—their late-game leverage performance has been a relative strength. However, the narrow… | 1–4 | Not rated this week | No prior week | Not rated this week |
| James Madison: 2026 Week 7 recap | James Madison sits at 5–0 and ranked 36th by GIE, though the model's rating remained flat week-over-week at 9.9. The Dukes' dominant 45–17 win over Marshall in Week 5 showcased their defensive prowess, but the offensive efficiency numbers… | 5–0 | #36 | No change | 9.9 |
| Louisiana: 2026 Week 7 recap | Louisiana sits at 4–1 after a narrow 23–20 home win over Arkansas State in Week 5, a result that kept the Cajuns' rating flat at −3. GIE projects 8.9 expected wins for the season, though the playoff probability remains at zero—the gap… | 4–1 | #80 | No change | −3.0 |
| Louisiana Tech: 2026 Week 7 recap | Louisiana Tech sits at 2–2 after a 31–29 home win over Army in Week 5, a result that moved the needle hardly at all according to GIE—the rating holds steady at −9.8, ranking 108th nationally. The narrow victory masks some underlying… | 2–2 | #108 | No change | −9.8 |
| Marshall: 2026 Week 7 recap | Marshall sits at 3–2 with a rating of −12.5 (rank 115) after a 45–17 loss to James Madison in Week 5 that exposed significant offensive limitations. The Thundering Herd's rating has held flat week-to-week, suggesting the model views the… | 3–2 | #115 | No change | −12.5 |
| Old Dominion: 2026 Week 7 recap | Old Dominion sits at 1–4 with a rating of −7.9, ranked 101st nationally and stuck in neutral after last week's 42–10 road loss to Georgia State. The Monarchs haven't budged in GIE's assessment, which speaks to the consistency of their… | 1–4 | #101 | No change | −7.9 |
Week 3
100 recaps
ACC 12
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston College: 2026 Week 3 recap | Boston College sits at 82nd in GIE's ratings after dropping Week 1 to Cincinnati, 34–15. The Eagles' offensive execution has been a problem: their red-zone touchdown rate sits at just 12.5%, while third-down conversion efficiency of 35.5%… | 0–1 | #82 | No prior week | −7.4 |
| California: 2026 Week 3 recap | California sits at 59th overall after dropping its season opener to UCLA 45–24 at home in Week 1. The rating held steady week-over-week, suggesting GIE saw little to adjust: the loss itself was the story, not a surprise. Red-zone… | 0–1 | #59 | No prior week | −3.4 |
| Clemson: 2026 Week 3 recap | Clemson sits at No. 23 nationally after absorbing a 51–10 road loss to LSU in Week 1—a blowout that left the rating unchanged at 13.1 and the outlook grim. The Tigers are 0–1 heading into a home matchup against Georgia Southern, a spot… | 0–1 | #23 | No prior week | 13.1 |
| Duke: 2026 Week 3 recap | Duke sits at No. 44 overall after opening with a 17–3 win over Tulane, though GIE's rating hasn't budged—still 5.6—suggesting the model views the performance as baseline rather than breakout. The real story: a red-zone TD rate of 16%… | 1–0 | #44 | No prior week | 5.6 |
| Florida State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Florida State sits at No. 35 overall with a 1–0 record after dispatching New Mexico State 34–17 in Week 1, though GIE's rating hasn't budged—it remains 9.1. The Seminoles' red-zone efficiency tells a cautionary tale: they converted… | 1–0 | #35 | No prior week | 9.1 |
| Georgia Tech: 2026 Week 3 recap | Georgia Tech remains ranked 42nd after a brutal Week 1 home loss to Colorado (14–13) that stalled any momentum heading into this week. The rating held steady at 5.9, suggesting GIE saw the defeat as confirmatory rather than a shock—a… | 0–1 | #42 | No prior week | 5.9 |
| Louisville: 2026 Week 3 recap | Louisville remains ranked 27th with a 11.1 rating after dropping their Week 1 opener to Ole Miss, 41–38. That loss stings partly because the Cards converted just 15% of red-zone trips into touchdowns—efficiency that tight would've changed… | 0–1 | #27 | No prior week | 11.1 |
| Miami: 2026 Week 3 recap | Miami sits at No. 7 nationally after dismantling Stanford 45–6 in Week 1, a statement opener that left the rating unchanged at 22. The Hurricanes are 1–0 and projecting toward 9.6 wins on the season, with a 66% chance of making the… | 1–0 | #7 | No prior week | 24.7 |
| NC State: 2026 Week 3 recap | NC State sits at 43rd overall with a 5.7 rating after dropping its season opener to Virginia, 34–8. The Wolfpack haven't budged in GIE's assessment week-to-week, which reflects a clear problem: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 23% tells… | 0–1 | #43 | No prior week | 5.7 |
| North Carolina: 2026 Week 3 recap | North Carolina opened the season with a road upset over TCU, claiming a 15-10 victory in Week 1—a result that GIE values at a 3.5 rating, placing the Tar Heels at 56th nationally. The rating held flat week-over-week, suggesting the model… | 1–0 | #56 | No prior week | 3.5 |
| Pittsburgh: 2026 Week 3 recap | Pittsburgh sits at 40th overall with a 6.2 rating after a dominant 59–14 home win over Miami (OH) in Week 1—but the rating hasn't budged since, suggesting GIE views that blowout as par for the course rather than a breakthrough. The… | 1–0 | #40 | No prior week | 6.2 |
| SMU: 2026 Week 3 recap | SMU sits at No. 25 with a rating of 12.1 heading into Week 1 play, which means the Mustangs' schedule hasn't yet begun. GIE projects them for 8.4 expected wins and gives them an 11% shot at the playoff and a 12% chance to win the… | 1–0 | #25 | No prior week | 12.1 |
American Athletic 8
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Army: 2026 Week 3 recap | Army sits at 81st overall after a dominant 59–3 home win over Bryant in Week 1—a statement of offensive firepower that masks deeper concerns. The rating hasn't budged since that blowout, a sign GIE sees the competition level as a poor… | 1–0 | #81 | No prior week | 2.2 |
| Charlotte: 2026 Week 3 recap | Charlotte's 0–1 start leaves them firmly in GIE's basement at rank 132, with a rating of −24.1 after absorbing a 43–41 home loss to The Citadel in Week 1. The narrow defeat exposed a deeper structural problem: a red-zone touchdown rate of… | 0–1 | #132 | No prior week | −24.1 |
| East Carolina: 2026 Week 3 recap | East Carolina sits at 79th overall with a 0–1 record after a 48–10 loss to Alabama in Week 1—a deficit that hasn't budged the needle on GIE's rating, holding steady at −2.3. The disparity tells the story: the Pirates managed just a 15%… | 0–1 | #79 | No prior week | −2.3 |
| Florida Atlantic: 2026 Week 3 recap | Florida Atlantic sits at 0–1 after a brutal 66–21 road loss to Florida in Week 1, and GIE's rating hasn't budged: they remain at −6.1, ranked 91st. The margin reveals a team that couldn't execute when it mattered—their red-zone touchdown… | 0–1 | #91 | No prior week | −6.1 |
| Memphis: 2026 Week 3 recap | Memphis sits at 2–0 with a 42–24 Week 1 win over Arkansas State, but GIE's rating hasn't budged—the model holds them at 67th nationally with a 0.3 rating, suggesting the Tigers haven't impressed on the underlying metrics yet. The film… | 2–0 | #67 | No prior week | 0.3 |
| Navy: 2026 Week 3 recap | Navy sits at 64th overall with a 1-0 record after dismantling Towson 42–15 in Week 1, though GIE's rating hasn't budged from 1.2—a sign the model views that result as expected rather than impressive. The offense showed some teeth early,… | 1–0 | #64 | No prior week | 1.2 |
| North Texas: 2026 Week 3 recap | North Texas enters week three still seeking its first win after a brutal 52–16 road loss to Indiana in week one. The Mean Green's rating holds steady at −11.6, ranking 105th nationally—a position that reflects an offense struggling to… | 0–1 | #105 | No prior week | −11.6 |
| Rice: 2026 Week 3 recap | Rice sits at 120th in GIE ratings after a dominant 31–3 win over Houston Christian in Week 1, though the rating held steady heading into this week—a signal the model views that result within expected parameters for the Owls' talent level.… | 1–0 | #120 | No prior week | −10.4 |
Big 12 11
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona: 2026 Week 3 recap | Arizona sits at No. 31 with a 1–0 record after a dominant 35–7 home win over Northern Arizona in Week 1. The rating held steady at 9.5 despite the convincing victory, suggesting GIE viewed the opponent matchup as expected rather than… | 1–0 | #31 | No prior week | 9.5 |
| Arizona State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Arizona State sits at 51st in the latest GIE ratings with a 1–0 record, though the model hasn't budged since last week—a signal that the Morgan State blowout (70–7) didn't meaningfully shift expectations. That stagnation makes sense: FCS… | 1–0 | #51 | No prior week | 8.7 |
| Baylor: 2026 Week 3 recap | Baylor sits at 53rd overall after a one-point road loss to Auburn in Week 1—a heartbreaker that kept the rating flat at 3.8. The Bears are expected to win roughly 4.5 games this season, and their path to the playoff is essentially closed.… | 0–1 | #53 | No prior week | 3.8 |
| BYU: 2026 Week 3 recap | BYU sits at 21st in GIE's rankings with a 1–0 record after a dominant 63–7 win over Utah Tech in Week 1. The rating hasn't budged—14.9 stays 14.9—which signals the model sees the blowout as expected rather than revelatory. Red-zone… | 1–0 | #21 | No prior week | 14.9 |
| Cincinnati: 2026 Week 3 recap | Cincinnati opened with a 34–15 win over Boston College and holds steady at rank 59 overall. GIE's rating hasn't shifted—the Bearcats remain at a 3, suggesting the opener, while decisive, landed within pre-season expectations. The red-zone… | 1–0 | #59 | No prior week | 5.9 |
| Colorado: 2026 Week 3 recap | Colorado sits at No. 65 overall after a 1–0 start, though the rating has held steady following a tight Week 1 road win at Georgia Tech (14–13). The Buffaloes are projected to win around 4 games this season, and GIE gives them virtually no… | 1–0 | #65 | No prior week | 2.1 |
| Houston: 2026 Week 3 recap | Houston sits at 38th overall after a 33–20 home win over Oregon State in Week 1, but the rating hasn't budged—GIE sees the Cougars holding steady at 7.4. The offense has clear execution problems: a red-zone TD rate of just 15% and… | 1–0 | #38 | No prior week | 6.5 |
| Iowa State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Iowa State sits at 1–0 after dismantling Southeast Missouri State 38–10 in Week 1, though GIE's rating remains flat at −0.4, placing them 69th nationally. The blowout victory over an FCS opponent hasn't moved the needle much—the model is… | 1–0 | #69 | No prior week | −0.4 |
| Kansas: 2026 Week 3 recap | Kansas sits at 58th nationally after a dominant 51–6 win over Long Island University in Week 1, though GIE's rating holds steady at 3.3—no movement despite the blowout. The model's cautious view reflects real constraints: a red-zone… | 1–0 | #58 | No prior week | 3.3 |
| Kansas State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Kansas State sits at No. 34 overall with a 1–0 record after dismantling Nicholls 71–3 in Week 1, though that dominant showing hasn't budged the model's rating—it remains at 9.2. The lopsided victory masks some underlying concerns: the… | 1–0 | #34 | No prior week | 9.2 |
| Oklahoma State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Oklahoma State sits at 0–1 after a 24–10 loss to Tulsa in Week 1, and the rating holds steady at 6.9 according to GIE. The Cowboy offense has work to do: a red-zone TD rate of just 9.6% and third-down conversion rate of 34.3% explain why… | 0–1 | #69 | Down 30 | 6.9 |
Big Ten 14
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illinois: 2026 Week 3 recap | Illinois opened with a convincing 42–23 home win over UAB, establishing early momentum in a season where the model projects 7.5 expected wins. The Illini sit at No. 28 overall with a 1–0 record, though their rating hasn't budged… | 1–0 | #28 | No prior week | 7.5 |
| Indiana: 2026 Week 3 recap | Indiana sits fifth overall with a pristine 1-0 record and a GIE rating of 25.8, unchanged from last week despite the dominant 52-16 home win over North Texas in Week 1. The lopsided victory masks some underlying concerns: a red-zone TD… | 1–0 | #6 | Down 1 | 25.8 |
| Iowa: 2026 Week 3 recap | Iowa sits at 22nd in GIE's ratings after a dominant 40–0 shutout of Northern Illinois in Week 1, though the model hasn't budged the rating since—holding at 14.6 points. The Hawkeyes face Iowa State this weekend in a rivalry game that… | 1–0 | #22 | No prior week | 14.6 |
| Maryland: 2026 Week 3 recap | Maryland sits at 47th nationally after a dominant 62–0 win over Hampton in Week 1, though GIE hasn't budged the rating—a sign the model views the blowout as baseline expectation rather than revelation. The Terps head to UConn this week… | 1–0 | #47 | No prior week | 9.1 |
| Michigan: 2026 Week 3 recap | Michigan scraped past Western Michigan 13–12 in Week 1, a narrow home victory that offered little reassurance about the offense's efficiency. The Wolverines' red-zone touchdown rate of 16% underscores the problem: they're moving the ball… | 1–0 | #15 | No prior week | 12.2 |
| Michigan State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Michigan State sits at 62nd overall with a 1–0 record after dispatching Toledo 30–20 in Week 1, though GIE's rating hasn't budged since the preseason—a sign the model views that win as baseline expectation rather than revelation. The… | 1–0 | #62 | No prior week | 1.0 |
| Minnesota: 2026 Week 3 recap | Minnesota sits at 40th overall with a 6.2 rating after dismantling Eastern Illinois 59–7 in Week 1, though GIE has held the rating flat since then. The lopsided win masks some underlying concerns: a red-zone TD rate of 13% and third-down… | 1–0 | #40 | No prior week | 6.2 |
| Nebraska: 2026 Week 3 recap | Nebraska sits at No. 33 with a 1–0 record and a rating of 9.3 after a dominant 49–21 win over Ohio in Week 1. The Cornhuskers haven't budged in the model despite the convincing victory—a sign that GIE saw the result coming. The real… | 1–0 | #33 | No prior week | 9.3 |
| Northwestern: 2026 Week 3 recap | Northwestern opened with a 34-18 win over South Dakota State, landing at No. 49 overall with a 5.1 rating. The Wildcats haven't budged in GIE's assessment week-to-week, which suggests the model views that opener as baseline-confirming… | 1–0 | #49 | No prior week | 5.1 |
| Ohio State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Ohio State sits atop the rankings with a 1–0 record and a rating of 32.7, though that baseline hasn't budged since Week 1—the Ball State demolition (56–3) set a high bar that subsequent play has merely held steady. The Buckeyes' red-zone… | 1–0 | #1 | No change | 32.7 |
| Oregon: 2026 Week 3 recap | Oregon sits at No. 2 in the GIE ratings after a 34–27 home win over Boise State in Week 1, though the rating held steady at 29.2—the model sees the victory as baseline execution rather than a breakthrough moment. The red zone tells part… | 1–0 | #2 | No prior week | 29.2 |
| Penn State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Penn State sits at 17th overall with a 1–0 record after dismantling Marshall 45–0 in Week 1, though GIE's rating held flat at 16.2 despite the dominant performance. The shutout speaks to defensive execution, but the red-zone TD rate of… | 1–0 | #17 | No prior week | 16.2 |
| Purdue: 2026 Week 3 recap | Purdue sits at 1–0 after dismantling Indiana State 44–19 in Week 1, but GIE's rating remains flat at −2.2, placing them 78th nationally. That disconnect matters: the blowout win masks underlying inefficiency. Their red-zone TD rate of… | 1–0 | #78 | No prior week | −2.2 |
| Rutgers: 2026 Week 3 recap | Rutgers sits at No. 61 overall after an opening-week loss to Massachusetts at home, 37–21. The rating hasn't budged since that result, which GIE pegged as roughly expected for a team of this caliber—not a catastrophic collapse, but a… | 0–1 | #61 | No prior week | −3.6 |
Conference USA 9
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delaware: 2026 Week 3 recap | Delaware sits at 113th overall after a dominant 42–7 win over Merrimack in Week 1, though GIE's rating remains flat at −12.9, suggesting the model views that opener as noise against a weak opponent. The Fightin' Blue Hens face a massive… | 1–0 | #113 | No prior week | −12.9 |
| Florida International: 2026 Week 3 recap | Florida International sits at 0–1 after a Week 1 loss to South USF, dropping 19–9 on the road. GIE's rating remains unchanged at −14.5, ranking the Panthers 115th nationally, with a projected path to around 5 wins this season. The offense… | 0–1 | #115 | No prior week | −14.5 |
| Jacksonville State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Jacksonville State remains ranked 95th by GIE after a flat week that saw no movement in its rating despite the 1–1 record. The Gamecocks' dominant 49–7 win over Eastern Kentucky offered little predictive signal for where this team truly… | 1–1 | #95 | No prior week | −7.0 |
| Kennesaw State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Kennesaw State sits at 1–0 after demolishing West Georgia 47–0 in Week 1, but GIE's rating hasn't budged—a −12.9 that keeps them ranked 113th nationally. The shutout masks some underlying inefficiency: a red-zone TD rate of just 14%… | 1–0 | #113 | No prior week | −12.9 |
| Liberty: 2026 Week 3 recap | Liberty sits at 88th overall with a 0–1 record after dropping their opener to James Madison, 20–13. The rating hasn't budged since—GIE sees them as a 6-win team in a league-wide sense. The red-zone TD rate of 15% tells the real story;… | 0–1 | #88 | No prior week | −7.2 |
| Middle Tennessee: 2026 Week 3 recap | Middle Tennessee sits at 1–0 after a dominant 38–14 win over Murray State in Week 1, though GIE's rating hasn't budged—the model sees the victory as expected rather than transformative. The Blue Raiders rank 135th nationally at −26.5, a… | 1–0 | #135 | No prior week | −20.8 |
| Missouri State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Missouri State sits at 0–1 after being shutout 50–0 by Texas A&M in Week 1, holding a rating of −19.1 and ranking 126th nationally. That result hasn't budged the model's assessment, which pegged the Bears as a long shot from the jump. The… | 0–1 | #126 | No prior week | −19.1 |
| New Mexico State: 2026 Week 3 recap | New Mexico State sits at 1–1 after a dominant 51–14 win over Mercyhurst in Week 1, though GIE hasn't budged the needle—the Aggies remain ranked 125th nationally with a rating of −18.5. The blowout masked some underlying efficiency issues:… | 1–1 | #125 | No prior week | −18.5 |
| Sam Houston: 2026 Week 3 recap | Sam Houston sits at 0–1 after dropping a 24–21 road decision to Troy in Week 1, holding a rating of −26 and ranking 134th per GIE. The Bearkats haven't moved in the model's assessment week-to-week, suggesting the loss aligned with… | 0–1 | #134 | No prior week | −21.5 |
FBS Independents 1
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame: 2026 Week 3 recap | Notre Dame sits at No. 3 nationally with a 26.5 rating after dispatching Wisconsin 41–13 in Week 1. The Irish haven't budged in GIE's view—the rating held steady—but the dominance of that opener speaks for itself. Third-down conversion… | 1–0 | #3 | No change | 26.5 |
Mid-American 11
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akron: 2026 Week 3 recap | Akron sits at 0–1 after a 38–16 loss to Wake Forest in Week 1, holding a rating of −22.9 and ranking 130th nationally. The Zips haven't moved in GIE's assessment since that defeat, suggesting consistency rather than collapse. The… | 0–1 | #130 | No prior week | −22.9 |
| Ball State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Ball State sits at 0–1 after a 56–3 road loss to Ohio State in Week 1—a result that left the Cardinals' rating essentially flat at −25.1, ranking 133rd nationally. The margin tells you everything: this was a mismatch between… | 0–1 | #133 | No prior week | −25.1 |
| Bowling Green: 2026 Week 3 recap | Bowling Green sits at 0–1 after falling to Tarleton State 20–13 in Week 1, and the rating hasn't budged since. GIE has them at 118th overall with an expected-wins projection of 3.9, reflecting a roster unlikely to string together many… | 0–1 | #118 | No prior week | −12.8 |
| Buffalo: 2026 Week 3 recap | Buffalo sits at 1–0 after scraping past UAlbany 21–17 in Week 1, but the narrow margin hints at deeper concerns. GIE rates the Bulls at −12.7, ranking them 111th nationally—a rating that hasn't budged week-to-week, suggesting the model… | 1–0 | #111 | No prior week | −11.6 |
| Central Michigan: 2026 Week 3 recap | Central Michigan sits at 0–1 with a rating of −15.1 after a lopsided Week 1 loss to New Mexico (38–7), and that damage hasn't budged GIE's assessment heading into Week 3. The Chippewas managed only a 12% red-zone touchdown rate in that… | 0–1 | #126 | Down 7 | −15.1 |
| Eastern Michigan: 2026 Week 3 recap | Eastern Michigan sits at 1–1 after a Week 1 home win over Sacramento State, though GIE's rating remains flat at −16.1, placing them 122nd nationally. The Eagles' offensive efficiency tells the real story: a third-down conversion rate of… | 1–1 | #122 | No change | −16.1 |
| Kent State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Kent State sits at 0–1 after a Week 1 blowout loss to South Carolina, with no movement in GIE's rating at −22.4 (129th nationally). The 57–0 defeat exposed fundamental offensive struggles: a 13% red-zone touchdown rate and just 31%… | 0–1 | #129 | No prior week | −22.4 |
| Massachusetts: 2026 Week 3 recap | Massachusetts sits at 1–0 after a stunning 37–21 road win at Rutgers in Week 1, though GIE's rating has held flat at −32.9, keeping them ranked 138th. The model isn't sold on the upset—a red-zone TD rate of just 13% suggests the Minutemen… | 1–0 | #138 | No prior week | −32.9 |
| Miami (OH): 2026 Week 3 recap | Miami (OH) sits at 0–1 after a brutal 59–14 road loss to Pittsburgh in Week 1, holding a rating of −4 and ranking 85th per GIE. The rating hasn't budged week-over-week, a concerning sign given the Redhawks face an immediate test at home… | 0–1 | #85 | No prior week | −10.0 |
| Ohio: 2026 Week 3 recap | Ohio sits at 0–1 after a Week 1 road loss to Nebraska that revealed early-season execution problems. The Bobcats managed only 21 points against a dominant opponent, and the rating hasn't budged at −11.8—GIE sees the defeat as consistent… | 0–1 | #124 | Down 15 | −11.8 |
| Sacramento State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Sacramento State sits at 1–1 after a dominant Week 1 shutout of Mississippi Valley State, but the Hornets haven't budged in GIE's ratings—holding steady at −23.4 and ranked 131st. That stagnation masks an uncomfortable truth: the blowout… | 1–1 | #131 | No prior week | −19.1 |
Mountain West 7
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force: 2026 Week 3 recap | Air Force sits at 1–0 after a dominant 34–0 shutout of Duquesne in Week 1, though GIE's rating hasn't budged, holding steady at −3.2 and ranking them 84th nationally. The blowout win masks some offensive inefficiency: a red-zone TD rate… | 1–0 | #84 | No prior week | −3.2 |
| Hawai'i: 2026 Week 3 recap | Hawai'i sits at 0–2 with a rating of −2.6, ranking 83rd nationally. The Rainbow Warriors' season opener against UNLV exposed significant offensive inefficiency: they managed just 6 points at home in a 21–6 loss, a result that hasn't moved… | 0–2 | #83 | No prior week | −2.6 |
| Nevada: 2026 Week 3 recap | Nevada sits at 108th in GIE's ratings after a dominant 49–14 win over Western Kentucky in Week 1, but the rating hasn't budged since—a sign the model views that result as baseline rather than transformative. The Wolf Pack's red-zone… | 1–0 | #108 | No prior week | −6.1 |
| New Mexico: 2026 Week 3 recap | New Mexico sits at 68th in GIE's rankings after a dominant Week 1 home win over Central Michigan (38–7), though the model projects just 7.7 expected wins for the season. The Lobos have a 1–0 record, but those numbers hint at a team that's… | 1–0 | #68 | No prior week | 4.4 |
| North Dakota State: 2026 Week 3 recap | North Dakota State remains undefeated at 2–0 after dismantling Jacksonville State 33–7 in Week 1, but GIE isn't convinced yet—the Bison sit at rank 75 with a rating of −1.8, unchanged from last week. That red-zone TD rate of 18% is the… | 2–0 | #75 | No prior week | −1.8 |
| Northern Illinois: 2026 Week 3 recap | Northern Illinois sits at 0–1 after a shutout loss to Iowa in Week 1, with GIE holding the Huskies at a rating of −17.2 and ranked 123rd nationally. The rating has held flat week-to-week, signaling no meaningful recovery in the interim.… | 0–1 | #123 | No prior week | −17.2 |
| San José State: 2026 Week 3 recap | San José State sits at 121st overall with a 1–1 record after an opening-week road win at Eastern Michigan. GIE's rating hasn't budged since last week—they remain at −15.7—which suggests the road victory against a peer-level opponent… | 1–1 | #121 | No prior week | −15.7 |
Pac-12 5
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Boise State remains ranked 49th after dropping its Week 1 opener at Oregon, 34–27, with no movement in the model's rating. The Broncos' red-zone efficiency is a legitimate concern—converting just 16% of trips into touchdowns—but their… | 0–1 | #49 | No prior week | 5.2 |
| Colorado State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Colorado State sits at 1–0 after a dominant 35–13 win over Wyoming in Week 1, though GIE's rating remains flat at −11.6, placing them 105th nationally. The Rams' red-zone efficiency—a concerning 21%—suggests they're leaving points on the… | 1–0 | #105 | No prior week | −11.6 |
| Fresno State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Fresno State remains ranked 73rd by GIE after absorbing a 39–0 road loss to USC in Week 1—a result that left the rating unchanged at −1.4, reflecting pre-game expectations in a matchup between the Pac-12's elite and a rebuilding Group of… | 0–1 | #73 | No prior week | −1.4 |
| Oregon State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Oregon State sits at 0–1 after dropping Week 1 to Houston 33–20, and GIE has the Beavers holding steady at rank 89 with a rating of −5.6. The offensive struggles are real: red-zone TD rate of 19% and third-down conversion at 37% tell the… | 0–1 | #89 | No prior week | −5.6 |
| San Diego State: 2026 Week 3 recap | San Diego State sits at 65th nationally with a 1–0 record after demolishing Portland State 53–20 in Week 1, though GIE's rating held steady at 0.7, suggesting the model views that margin as expected rather than transformative. The Aztecs'… | 1–0 | #65 | No prior week | 0.7 |
SEC 11
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama: 2026 Week 3 recap | Alabama sits at No. 13 after a dominant 48–10 win over East Carolina in Week 1, though GIE's rating hasn't budged from 17.6—a sign the model saw the result as expected rather than revelatory. The Crimson Tide's red-zone efficiency tells a… | 1–0 | #13 | No prior week | 17.6 |
| Arkansas: 2026 Week 3 recap | Arkansas sits at No. 44 in GIE's ratings after a convincing 31–14 home win over North Alabama in Week 1, though the rating held steady heading into Week 2—a sign the model saw the opener as largely what was expected. The Razorbacks'… | 1–0 | #44 | No prior week | 3.3 |
| Auburn: 2026 Week 3 recap | Auburn sits at No. 26 after a narrow 17–16 home win over Baylor in Week 1—a one-point escape that masks some underlying offensive inefficiency. The Tigers' rating held steady this week at 11.5, suggesting GIE views that squeaker as fairly… | 1–0 | #26 | No prior week | 11.5 |
| Florida: 2026 Week 3 recap | Florida sits at No. 20 nationally after a dominant 66–21 Week 1 victory over Florida Atlantic, though GIE's rating hasn't budged—a reminder that one blowout win against a Group of Five opponent carries limited predictive weight. The… | 1–0 | #20 | No prior week | 18.6 |
| Georgia: 2026 Week 3 recap | Georgia enters Week 3 undefeated and ranked fourth overall, though the rating held flat week-to-week after the 63-3 demolition of Tennessee State. That lopsided result masks some operational concerns: red-zone efficiency at 21% suggests… | 1–0 | #4 | No prior week | 28.7 |
| Kentucky: 2026 Week 3 recap | Kentucky sits at 47th overall after a dominant 45–13 win over Youngstown State, though the rating holds steady at 5.2. The blowout margin masks some underlying efficiency concerns: a red-zone TD rate of 23% and third-down conversion rate… | 1–0 | #47 | No prior week | 5.2 |
| LSU: 2026 Week 3 recap | LSU sits at No. 10 with a 1–0 record and a rating of 20.4 following a dominant 51–10 home win over Clemson in Week 1. The Tigers haven't budged in GIE's view since that opener, suggesting the blowout confirmed what the model already… | 1–0 | #10 | No prior week | 20.4 |
| Mississippi State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Mississippi State sits at 52nd overall with a 4.8 rating after a dominant Week 1 win over UL Monroe, though the needle hasn't moved since—the rating held flat heading into this week. The Bulldogs' red-zone efficiency tells the real story:… | 1–0 | #52 | No prior week | 4.8 |
| Missouri: 2026 Week 3 recap | Missouri sits at No. 19 after dismantling Arkansas-Pine Bluff 54–14 in Week 1, though the rating hasn't budged since—a sign that GIE views the blowout as exactly what was expected. The Tigers' red-zone efficiency is a concern: they're… | 1–0 | #19 | No prior week | 12.9 |
| Oklahoma: 2026 Week 3 recap | Oklahoma sits at No. 11 with a 1–0 record and a rating of 18.8, unchanged from last week despite the dominant 51–0 win over UTEP in Week 1. The shutout was comprehensive, but the situational numbers reveal some churn: a red-zone touchdown… | 1–0 | #11 | No prior week | 18.8 |
| Ole Miss: 2026 Week 3 recap | Ole Miss opened the season with a 41-38 home win over Louisville and remains undefeated at 1-0, holding a rating of 16.5 that ranks them 16th nationally. The narrow victory hints at underlying inefficiency—a red-zone TD rate of just 16.5%… | 1–0 | #16 | No prior week | 16.5 |
Sun Belt 11
| Team | Excerpt | Record | Rank | Rank change | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| App State: 2026 Week 3 recap | App State sits at 111th in GIE's ratings after a dominant 55–3 win over Maine in Week 1, though the rating hasn't budged since—a sign the model saw that performance as fairly predictable. The Mountaineers' offense has executed in the red… | 1–0 | #111 | No prior week | −7.2 |
| Arkansas State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Arkansas State sits at 0–1 after falling to Memphis 42–24 in Week 1, and GIE's rating has held flat at −11.6, placing the Red Wolves at 105th nationally. The blowout loss exposed depth issues: a red-zone TD rate of just 12% and third-down… | 0–1 | #105 | No prior week | −11.6 |
| Coastal Carolina: 2026 Week 3 recap | Coastal Carolina enters Week 3 ranked 117th by GIE after a season-opening loss to West Virginia, 31–24. The rating held flat week-over-week, suggesting the offense showed enough competence to avoid further decline despite the defeat.… | 0–1 | #117 | No prior week | −12.1 |
| Georgia Southern: 2026 Week 3 recap | Georgia Southern opened 2026 at 1–0 after dismantling Charleston Southern 31–0, but the rating hasn't budged: GIE still slots the Eagles at 103rd nationally with a −10.8 rating. That stasis is the story—a dominant win over a… | 1–0 | #103 | No prior week | −10.8 |
| Georgia State: 2026 Week 3 recap | Georgia State sits at 1–0 after a dominant 59–10 Week 1 win over North Carolina A&T, though GIE's rating remains flat at −29.3, placing them 137th nationally. The lopsided scoreline masks some underlying concerns: a red-zone touchdown… | 1–0 | #137 | No prior week | −29.3 |
| Idaho: 2026 Week 3 recap | Idaho sits at 0–2 after a 38–34 road loss to Cal Poly in Week 1, and the early returns from GIE suggest the Vandals face an uphill climb to bowl eligibility. The model projects 4.6 expected wins for the season and assigns nearly zero… | 0–2 | Not rated this week | No prior week | Not rated this week |
| James Madison: 2026 Week 3 recap | James Madison sits at 1–0 after a 20–13 Week 1 win over Liberty, holding a rating of −0.9 and ranked 70th by GIE. The rating hasn't budged week-over-week, reflecting a Dukes offense still finding its rhythm: a red-zone touchdown rate of… | 1–0 | #70 | No prior week | −0.9 |
| Louisiana: 2026 Week 3 recap | Louisiana opened with a dominant 38–7 win over Lamar, but the rating hasn't budged—GIE still pegs them at 102nd nationally with a −10.6 mark. That's the real story: one big result against a weak opponent doesn't shift the model's view of… | 1–0 | #102 | No prior week | −5.7 |
| Louisiana Tech: 2026 Week 3 recap | Louisiana Tech sits at 1–0 after demolishing Northwestern State 80–6 in Week 1, but the rating hasn't budged: they're holding steady at −9.1 and ranked 99th per GIE. That lopsided win came against a vastly inferior opponent, so the model… | 1–0 | #99 | No prior week | −9.1 |
| Marshall: 2026 Week 3 recap | Marshall sits at 0–1 and rated 98th nationally after a shutout loss to Penn State in Week 1. The Thundering Herd haven't moved in GIE's estimation—the rating remains flat—which suggests the model saw the outcome as predictable rather than… | 0–1 | #98 | No prior week | −14.4 |
| Old Dominion: 2026 Week 3 recap | Old Dominion sits at 1–0 after dispatching Norfolk State 31–10 in Week 1, though GIE's rating of −6.9 reflects a program still operating well below the FBS median. The Monarchs' efficiency metrics reveal structural weaknesses: a red-zone… | 1–0 | #88 | Up 5 | −6.9 |
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