Arizona State: 2026 Week 7 recap

Arizona State sits at 2–4 after a 55–19 home loss to Baylor in Week 5, a result that crystallized deeper offensive struggles. GIE's rating holds steady at 3, with the Sun Devils projected to win just 5.1 games this season—effectively ruling out playoff contention. The math here is brutal: a red-zone touchdown rate of 15% and third-down conversion rate of 32% suggests Arizona State can't sustain drives when it matters most. Even aggressive fourth-down calls (47% go-for-it rate) haven't compensated for the offensive drought. Arizona State hosts Hawai'i this week, a chance to reset against a lower-tier opponent, but the path back to respectability runs through drastic efficiency gains in the coming weeks.