Rainbow Warriors · Mountain West
Head coach Timmy Chang Year 5 with Hawai'i
No remaining game changes Hawai'i's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Aug 29 | at Stanford ACC | Loss, 27-37 Final |
| Wk 1 Sep 6 | vs UNLV Mountain West | Loss, 6-21 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 13 | vs New Mexico State Conference USA | Win, 29-19 Final |
| Wk 3 | Bye | |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | at Wyoming Mountain West | Loss, 10-27 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 4 | vs San José State Mountain West | Loss, 16-20 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 11 | at Arizona State Big 12 | Loss, 12-30 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 18 | vs New Mexico Mountain West | Loss, 10-21 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | at Northern Illinois Mountain West | Win, 56-21 Final |
| Wk 9 | Bye | |
| Wk 10 Nov 8 | at UTEP Mountain West | |
| Wk 11 Nov 15 | vs North Dakota State Mountain West | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | at Nevada Mountain West | |
| Wk 13 Nov 29 | vs Sacramento State Mid-American | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
GIE projects a 4.9 rating drop and a 19.7pp shift in playoff probability if Hawai'i loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=2 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
54 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
−1.3 rating
20 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Audric HarrisWR From Washington | Washington | 18 |
| DeVon RiceRB From Kansas State | Kansas State | 18 |
| Carson BrownWR From Iowa State | Iowa State | 15 |
| Joenel FigueroaDB From West Georgia | West Georgia | 15 |
| Devin AlvesWR From Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | 8 |
| Caleb BrownDB From Virginia Tech | Virginia Tech | 7 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
