2026 Week 7 · Conference game
New Mexico at Hawai'i
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
New Mexico
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 0.0
- National rank
- 68
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Hawai'i
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-1
- Rating
- -2.6
- National rank
- 83
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
New Mexico
45%
Hawai'i
55%
Hawai'i 90% CI: 46% – 64% Δ rating 2.6
Hawai'i is the model's favorite at 55%. New Mexico has a 45% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for Hawai'i — venue-specific learned value (n=26 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
New Mexico offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Hawai'i offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No