Sacramento State at Hawai'i
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 11:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
Sacramento State 5% Underdog
Hawai'i 95% Favorite
Hawai'i is the model's favorite at 95%. Sacramento State has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.9 rating points baked in for Hawai'i — venue-specific learned value (n=30 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Sacramento State offense
33 / 100 Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Hawai'i offense
Higher fit 39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup