Boise State: 2026 Week 7 recap

Boise State sits at No. 47 overall with a 4–1 record and a rating of 7.6, unchanged from last week despite a dominant 37–18 home win over Utah State in Week 5. The Broncos' rating stability masks an uneven underlying picture: their red-zone efficiency sits at just 16%, a significant drag on a team that should be converting more scoring opportunities into touchdowns. Third-down conversion sits at 42%, suggesting drives stall before they reach the end zone. GIE projects 8.3 wins and gives them a 61% chance to win the Pac-12, a realistic but not commanding position. Up next is a road trip to Fresno State in Week 6—a non-conference matchup that offers a chance to tighten the offense and prove the Utah State result wasn't a ceiling.